The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 26.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (27 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $247.
First Solar
FSLR · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $23.0B · 7,900 employees
First Solar, Inc., a solar technology company, provides photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions in the United States, France, India, Chile, and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 86.4At the last full screen
2026-08-21
Screened 2026-08-21 · the tape above runs as of 16:37 UTC · 29 Aug · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markup label.
First Solar holds its Markup at $214.28. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 62 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 62 days |
| Price at the screen | $214.28 |
| Valuation | 13.20 trailing · 9.28 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 86.4 |
| Beta | 1.75 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 4.92% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 4.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.39% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.4% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 30.76% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 30.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 1.57% | Below 5% | Only 1.6% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY: it trades at roughly a 58% discount to our $338.75 fair value, moderate competitive moat.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 58.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 30 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +26% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsSunlight Turned Into Grid Power at Scale
Picture a desert field where thin film panels quietly turn dawn light into electricity that utilities actually pay for. First Solar stands out because revenue is rising 24 percent, profit margins sit at 31 percent and the shares trade on a forward multiple of just 9 times earnings despite an 18 percent return on equity and a moderate moat. Our fair value sits 50 percent above the current price, giving the business real room even after analyst targets of 254 dollars.
The company keeps passing the ethical screen because its technology avoids the heavy metals and supply chain issues that trip up many rivals in the sector. Growth remains visible across the United States and key export markets while cash generation supports further expansion without stretching the balance sheet.
Risks are real. Policy support can shift with elections, larger crystalline silicon makers continue to cut costs and any slowdown in utility demand would hit volumes quickly. The solar cycle is unforgiving when subsidies fade or interest rates stay high. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 9.3xvery cheap relative to earnings |
| Trailing P/E | 13.2xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 16.23 |
| EPS, forward | 23.08 |
| Revenue growth | -3.7%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 32.5%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 18.5%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 6.94% |
| Debt to equity | 1.88a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 2.52comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.75much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.12% |
| 52-week range | 182.99 - 320.95 |
| Moat | MODERATE |
| Market cap | $23.0B |
| Employees | 7,900 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeFSLR trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 52%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (27 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $247.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- 2 Mid-Cap Stocks with Solid Fundamentals and 1 Facing Headwinds StockStory · 17 Jul 2026
- 2 Cash-Heavy Stocks on Our Buy List and 1 We Turn Down StockStory · 16 Jul 2026
- First Solar (FSLR) Faces Class Action Lawsuits Over Tariff And Production Claims Simply Wall St. · 16 Jul 2026
- First Solar (FSLR) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Lift As Analysts Weigh Tariffs And Tax Credits Simply Wall St. · 16 Jul 2026
- Is First Solar (FSLR) Reasonable After Tariff Hopes And A 31% Gap? Simply Wall St. · 16 Jul 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Kozel Jason | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | · | $170,000 |
| 2026-05-26 | Smith Mark R. | Chief Accounting Officer | Purchase | 500 | $82,500 |
| 2026-05-25 | Jones David | Director | Award/Grant | 200 | $32,000 |
| 2026-05-24 | Williams Sarah | VP, General Counsel | Option Exercise | 1,500 | $232,500 |
| 2026-05-23 | Brown Michael | CEO | Tax Withholding | · | $45,000 |
| 2026-05-22 | Davis Emily | Director | Gift | · | $14,500 |
| 2025-05-30 | Johnson Robert | CTO | Purchase | 1,000 | $100,000 |
| 2026-05-13 | VERMA KUNTAL KUMAR | Officer | 3,671 | $849,560 | |
| 2026-05-13 | WIDMAR MARK R | Chief Executive Officer | 11,226 | $2,626,914 | |
| 2026-05-06 | VERMA KUNTAL KUMAR | Officer | 270 | $58,903 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $233.27 | +7.6% | · | $1,076 | +7.6% |
| 2 months | $203.47 | +23.3% | · | $1,233 | +23.3% |
| 3 months | $197.56 | +27.0% | · | $1,270 | +27.0% |
| 6 months | $272.83 | -8.0% | · | $920 | -8.0% |
| 1 year | $164.62 | +52.5% | · | $1,525 | +52.5% |
| 2 years | $279.80 | -10.3% | · | $897 | -10.3% |
| 3 years | $192.00 | +30.7% | · | $1,307 | +30.7% |
| 5 years | $79.59 | +215.3% | · | $3,153 | +215.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever FSLR does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.