ALGN
Align Technology
Health Care · Health Care Supplies · US
$158.15
Close 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$11.3B
Trailing P/E
26.54
Forward P/E
12.78
Rev Growth
+6.2%
Profit Margin
10.5%
ROE
10.8%
Analyst Target
$209.07
Recommendation
BUY
About Align Technology

Align Technology, Inc. provides Invisalign clear aligners, Vivera retainers, and iTero intraoral scanners and services in the United States, Switzerland, and internationally. The company's Clear Aligner segment offers Invisalign comprehensive package to treat adults and teens malocclusion and features, and orthodontic needs of teenage or younger patients; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger patients between the ages of six and ten years with a mixture of primary/baby and permanent teeth. This segment also provides Invisalign express, Invisalign lite, and Invisalign moderate; Invisalign Go, Invisalign Go express, and Invisalign Go Plus; retention products, Invisalign training, adjusting tools used by dental professionals during treatment, ancillary Invisalign accessory products, and other oral health products; Invisalign Professional Whitening system; Invisalign Palatal Expander, a 3D printed orthodontic device; and 3D printing solutions. Its Imaging Systems and CAD/CAM Services segment offers iTero intraoral scanning system, a single hardware platform for restorative or orthodontic procedures; exocad, a computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing software; orthodontist software for digital records storage, orthodontic diagnosis, and fabrication of printed models and retainers; and restorative software for general practitioner dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons. This segment also offers Invisalign outcome simulator, a chair-side and cloud-based application for the iTero scanner; Invisalign progress assessment tool; Align Oral Health Suite, a digital interface for dental consultations; iTero TimeLapse technology for doctors or practitioners to compare a patient's historic 3D scans to the present-day scan; and subscription software, disposables, rents scanners, and pay per scan services. Align Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $158, 7% above fair value of $148. Moderate competitive position. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 97% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.02%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.35%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 89.5
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 60.2
Score Combined: 61.3
Fair Value Est: $148.45 · Margin of Safety: -6.5% · Tier: OPPORTUNITY

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation92.2
Quality50.7
Cash Flow56.2
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity94.4
Liquid Purity100.0
Rev Purity92.0
Compliance95.4
Tier: SILVER · Score: 62.1 · Rank: #440
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-292.61Pending--
2026-04-292.292.58+12.8%
2026-02-042.973.29+10.8%
2025-10-291.290.78-39.3%
2025-07-302.572.49-3.3%
2025-04-301.992.13+7.1%
2025-02-052.452.44-0.4%
2024-10-232.312.35+1.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$1.0B$112.8M$229.1M$736.6M$172.6M1.58
2025-12-31$1.0B$135.8M$260.9M$683.6M$158.9M1.89
2025-09-30$995.7M$56.8M$183.8M$639.2M$128.1M0.78
2025-06-30$1.0B$124.6M$203.6M$708.1M$163.0M1.72
2025-03-31$979.3M$93.2M$174.4M$680.1M$135.3M1.27
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-02-20HOGAN JOSEPH MChief Executive Officer40,248--
2026-02-20MORICI JOHN F.Chief Financial Officer7,848--
2026-02-20HOCKRIDGE STUART AOfficer4,310--
2026-02-20COLETTI JULIE ANNOfficer5,864--
2026-02-18MORICI JOHN F.Chief Financial Officer7,969$1.5M
2025-08-01HOGAN JOSEPH MChief Executive Officer7,576$996.1K
2025-05-21CONROY KEVIN TDirector1,148--
2025-05-21SAIA ANDREA LYNNDirector1,148--
2025-05-21LARKIN CHARLES RAYMOND JRDirector1,531--
2025-05-21MORROW GEORGE JDirector1,148--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Vanguard Capital Management LLC4.4M$718.1M0.1%
Blackrock Inc.4.3M$701.9M0.1%
Capital World Investors4.1M$666.3M0.1%
Capital International Investors3.8M$623.2M0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC3.2M$515.5M0.0%
FMR, LLC2.7M$441.8M0.0%
State Street Corporation2.5M$411.7M0.0%
Ninety One UK Ltd2.2M$364.6M0.0%
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC1.9M$311.3M0.0%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.8M$293.9M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
8
4
16 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
7
5
16 analysts
Last Month
1
8
8
18 analysts
Current
3
8
4
16 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$10.8B
Price/Book
2.82
Beta
1.695
Analysts
14
Total Revenue (TTM)
$4.1B
Total Debt
$116.0M
Earnings Growth
+23.9%
Rec. Mean
1.88
Short Ratio
4.04
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
20,275

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 61.3 (P96 — top 3.5% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical PASS. 14 analysts at Buy.
Price: $158.15 | Target: $209.07 (+32%) | Fair Value: $148.45 (+-6%)
Score
61
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+32%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+6.2%
Profit Margin10.5%
ROE10.8%
Forward P/E12.8
Market Cap$11.3B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-29$2.61Pending
2026-04-29$2.29$2.58+12.8%
2026-02-04$2.97$3.29+10.8%
2025-10-29$1.29$0.78-39.3%
2025-07-30$2.57$2.49-3.3%
2025-04-30$1.99$2.13+7.1%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $134.43 (-15%) | Entry: $158.15
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($209.07, 14 analysts)
10$1,581.50+$509.20 (32%)2.1R
50$7,907.50+$2,546.00 (32%)2.1R
100$15,815.00+$5,092.00 (32%)2.1R
To Fair Value ($148.45)
10$1,581.50+$-97.00 (-6%)-0.4R
50$7,907.50+$-485.00 (-6%)-0.4R
100$15,815.00+$-970.00 (-6%)-0.4R
Risk Factors
  • High beta (1.70) — amplifies market moves by 1.70x
  • Elevated short interest (4.04 days to cover)
The Verdict
Align Technology passes all ethical screens and holds a moderate competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
38.4
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-7.0%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.45
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-54.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
62.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Nov
Worst Month
Jul
Fri-Mon Effect
0.09462433442663383
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+4.6%
Beat Drift Positive %
75.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-13.7%
3M Return
-11.8%
6M Return
+23.1%
12M Return
-5.2%
Momentum Rank
#3363
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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