DAILY INTELLIGENCE

Futures Basis

The spread between cash and futures tells you where money expects to go

5 contracts tracked. Cash vs futures spread analysis. Last updated: 2026-06-04.

SECTION 01

Cash vs Futures Spread

Contango (futures > cash) is normal — it implies carry cost. Backwardation (cash > futures) signals supply tightness or extreme demand for immediate delivery.

ContractCashFuturesBasis %Ann. YieldRegime
GC$407.87$4,504.40+1004.37%+12219.9%contango
CL$140.86$95.37-32.29%-392.9%backwardation
NQ$26,853.98$30,479.75+13.50%+164.3%contango
ES$7,553.68$7,544.25-0.12%-1.5%backwardation
RTY$2,893.51$2,897.10+0.12%+1.5%contango
Trading Edge: When basis flips from contango to backwardation, it often precedes a supply squeeze. In commodities, this is one of the most reliable leading signals for price spikes.

This is analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always manage your risk.

Data refreshed daily. Last update: 04 Jun 2026 05:29 UTC

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