The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $70.
H.B. Fuller Company
FUL · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.1B · 7,100 employees
H.B.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-08-26
Screened 2026-08-26 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its distribution label.
H.B. Fuller Company holds its Distribution at $58.05. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days |
| Price at the screen | $58.05 |
| Valuation | 17.23 trailing · 10.90 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.97 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 40.06% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 40.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.07% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.1% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 12.96% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 13.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.14% | Below 5% | Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-26 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 3.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +29% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-26 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsGlue maker looks cheap but cycles often trap
Walk into any factory making packaging or cars and the adhesives from H.B. Fuller are probably holding things together. Yet the business sits squarely in a cyclical corner of chemicals where demand rises and falls with construction and manufacturing cycles. A forward multiple of 10.7 times flatters the numbers only if current earnings mark the peak rather than the norm.
Revenue is growing at 6 percent with thin 5 percent margins and 9 percent return on equity. Those figures already show limited pricing power. The ethical screen clears the company, yet the low multiple here signals caution rather than value because earnings in this sector tend to collapse faster than investors expect when volumes turn.
The real exposure sits with economic slowdowns that hit volumes first and leave fixed costs stranded. Unknown competitive protection adds another layer of uncertainty. Even strong analyst targets cannot change the structural pattern of peak-cycle multiples looking attractive right before they are not. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 10.9xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 17.2xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 3.37 |
| EPS, forward | 5.32 |
| Revenue growth | +5.8%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 5.3%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 9.4%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 7.03% |
| Dividend yield | 154.00% |
| Debt to equity | 1.06a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 1.80healthy short-term liquidity |
| Beta | 0.97steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.07% |
| 52-week range | 48.71 - 68.63 |
| Market cap | $3.1B |
| Employees | 7,100 |
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeFUL trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 10.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $70.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $70.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr2026 | Susie Lee | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $60.35 | +3.3% | · | $1,033 | +3.3% |
| 2 months | $63.47 | -1.8% | $0.25 | $986 | -1.4% |
| 3 months | $55.07 | +13.2% | $0.25 | $1,136 | +13.6% |
| 6 months | $60.49 | +3.1% | $0.48 | $1,039 | +3.9% |
| 1 year | $57.71 | +8.0% | $0.95 | $1,097 | +9.7% |
| 2 years | $73.83 | -15.6% | $1.85 | $870 | -13.0% |
| 3 years | $62.95 | -1.0% | $2.69 | $1,033 | +3.3% |
| 5 years | $64.88 | -3.9% | $4.16 | $1,025 | +2.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever FUL does next, these words stay.
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