Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. TR

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells confectionery products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.

The label

Distribution

read at $39.08

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. holds its Distribution at $39.08.

PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate

edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase	Distribution · caution
Quantitative state	Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 6 days
Price	$39.08
Valuation	29.38 trailing · -20.04 forward price to earnings
Values screen	PASS · score 70.0
Beta	0.39

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E	-20.0x
Trailing P/E	29.4x a premium valuation
Revenue growth	2.1% slow but positive growth
Profit margin	13.5% thin but positive margins
Return on equity	10.9% a modest return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity	1.43 a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio	3.57 comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta	0.39 barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap	$2.9B
Employees	2,100

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in TR's space worth a look

HSY Hershey Company (The) MDLZ Mondelez International RMCF Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

TR trades on the NYSE. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. Entered 2026-07-18 · Distribution

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Distribution $38.88 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 21%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%.

2026-07-03 Distribution $38.88 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $38.88 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming TR
Date	Politician	Party	Type	Amount
9 Jun2026	Gil Cisneros	Democrat	buy	1K–15K
9 Apr2026	Josh Gottheimer	Democrat	sell	1K–15K
9 Apr2026	Josh Gottheimer	Democrat	sell	15K–50K
9 Apr2026	Scott Peters	Democrat	buy	50K–100K
8 May2026	Kevin Hern	Republican	exchange	15K–50K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period	Price then	Price return	Divs per share	$1,000 became	Total return
1 month	$40.78	-3.2%	·	$968	-3.2%
2 months	$44.23	-10.7%	·	$893	-10.7%
3 months	$41.32	-4.5%	·	$956	-4.5%
6 months	$36.78	+7.4%	$0.17	$1,078	+7.8%
1 year	$32.62	+21.0%	$0.35	$1,221	+22.1%
2 years	$26.44	+49.3%	$0.69	$1,519	+51.9%
3 years	$34.13	+15.7%	$1.02	$1,187	+18.7%
5 years	$28.42	+38.9%	$1.65	$1,447	+44.7%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever TR does next, these words stay.

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. · TR · Distribution · $39.08
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

All of today's entries See the running score

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. TR

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever TR does next, these words stay.

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