An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Radware Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets cyber security and application delivery solutions for cloud, on-premises, and software defined data centers.
VERDICT
The label
Markup
read at $30.29
Radware Ltd. holds its Markup at $30.29.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · passes the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 13 days
Price
$30.29
Valuation
68.84 trailing · 23.01 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
0.84
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Read at
$30.29
68.84 P/E · 23.01 fwd
Our fair value
$32.00
6% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$31.00
+2% to current
Target low $30.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $32.00
▲ current $30.29 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$30.29
you are here
Conservative
$27.00
-11%
Analyst avg
$31.00
+2%
Our fair value
$32.00
+6%
Analyst high
$32.00
+6%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Revenue growth
10.70%
Profit margin
6.28%
Debt to equity
4.45
Analyst consensus
None · 2 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✓ PASSES
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashInterest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.Fail
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.Fail
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Cybersecurity tools that fail to deliver punch
Picture a company selling the digital locks and load balancers that keep websites running when traffic spikes or attackers strike. Radware sits in that market yet shows only 11% revenue growth, a 6% profit margin and 5% return on equity. With a forward multiple of 23 times and barely any margin of safety above fair value, the numbers give no reason to step in.
The ethical screen is cleared, which rules out obvious red flags on governance or product misuse. Still the business offers no visible moat, analyst coverage is thin and the consensus target sits almost on top of the current price. Opportunity rating stays at none because nothing here beats the hurdle for a conviction buy.
Competition in application security is fierce and low returns leave little room for error if growth slows further. Currency moves and customer concentration add extra volatility that the thin balance sheet does little to cushion. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Israel and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
PEERS
Related securities · others in RDWR's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
RDWR trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Israel). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markup
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-18Markup$28.23+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 16% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
2026-07-03Markup$28.23+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$28.23Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$27.34
+4.3%
·
$1,043
+4.3%
2 months
$23.37
+22.0%
·
$1,220
+22.0%
3 months
$25.60
+11.4%
·
$1,114
+11.4%
6 months
$24.21
+17.8%
·
$1,178
+17.8%
1 year
$24.31
+17.3%
·
$1,173
+17.3%
2 years
$18.75
+52.1%
·
$1,521
+52.1%
3 years
$20.09
+41.9%
·
$1,419
+41.9%
5 years
$29.97
-4.9%
·
$951
-4.9%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RDWR does next, these words stay.
Radware Ltd. · RDWR · Markup · $30.29
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically
