RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
Healthcare · Biotechnology · NMS
$23.39
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
MODERATE
Data Confidence: 71%
Some financial metrics pending
Market Cap
$2.3B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
24.23
Rev Growth
-2.2%
Profit Margin
-90.9%
ROE
Analyst Target
$48.00
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
About Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for the treatment of long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidates that are in Phase 3 clinical trials include UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; and GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome. It also develops UX701 that is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 50.5
Score Quality: 30.0
Score Combined: 38.6

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation73.2
Quality23.5
Cash Flow0.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet50.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 43.2 · Rank: #3768
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$3.1B
Price/Book
-28.02
Beta
0.386
Analysts
19
Total Revenue (TTM)
$670.0M
Total Debt
$1.2B
Rec. Mean
1.47
Short Ratio
8.25
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
1,371

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 38.6 (P40 — top 59.8% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 19 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $23.39 | Target: $52.05 (+123%)
Score
39
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+123%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-2.2%
Profit Margin-90.9%
Forward P/E24.2
Market Cap$2.3B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $19.88 (-15%) | Entry: $23.39
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($52.05, 19 analysts)
10$233.90+$286.60 (123%)8.2R
50$1,169.50+$1,433.00 (123%)8.2R
100$2,339.00+$2,866.00 (123%)8.2R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (8.25 days to cover)
The Verdict
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
39.6
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.2%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-9.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.37
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-68.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.6x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
HQH0.358
DNLI0.358
ARKG0.353
CRNX0.337
IDYA0.320
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
LEJUY-0.193
AMAN.AE-0.172
5069.KL-0.160
1183.SR-0.158
BAES.L-0.153
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
Aug
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.05006033333253901
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-5.2%
3M Return
+0.9%
6M Return
-29.0%
12M Return
-33.7%
Momentum Rank
#3809
Momentum Signal
DOWN

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access