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Vol. II · No. 256Sunday, 13 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Healthcare · Biotechnology

MBX Biosciences, Inc. logoMBX Biosciences, Inc.

MBX · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $3.2B · 63 employees

MBX Biosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of precision peptide therapies for the treatment of endocrine and metabolic disorders.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
66.39 USD

At the last full screen
2026-08-27

Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

MBX Biosciences, Inc. holds its Markdown at $66.39. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 73 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 73 days
Price at the screen$66.39
ValuationN/A trailing · -16.79 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 0.15% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 0.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 77.48% Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are 77.5% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables 20.10% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 20.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

70.00Conservative88.00Base case121.00Growth case 66.39Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 32.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
70.00Street low 88.00Street average 121.00Street high 66.39Price

Third-party analyst targets: 11 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +33% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$130$66$3TODAY1y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$121.00 +298%Street avg$88.00 +190%Our fair value$88.00 +190%Conservative$70.00 +131%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Clinical stage biotech with zero profits

A clinical stage biotech is a bit like backing an untested athlete to win the Olympics, you pay upfront for potential that may never arrive. MBX Biosciences focuses on peptide therapies for endocrine disorders, with its lead candidate still in trials and no approved products. The numbers show a forward P/E of negative 16 times, zero profit margin and return on equity at negative 26 percent, which is why the opportunity rating stays at none.

Analysts give a strong buy call with a 70 dollar median target against the current 62.92 price, yet the ethical screen returns insufficient data because basic financial ratios are missing. That gap alone blocks any positive view here.

High clinical failure rates remain the core risk for any early stage drug maker, and the lack of moat or ethical clarity adds further uncertainty around long term viability. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-16.8x
EPS, trailing-2.37
EPS, forward-3.96
Profit margin0.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-33.2%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield-1.66%
Debt to equity0.82moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio18.08comfortably covers its short-term bills
Short interest, float0.14%
52-week range9.63 - 72.64
Market cap$3.2B
Employees63

The risks · The things to watch: as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

MBX trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-05 Markdown · changed $66.39 +5.5% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 165%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (11 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69.

2026-08-05 Markup $62.92 +77.2% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 77.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 165%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (11 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69.

2026-07-18 Markup $35.51 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 18% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 165%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 35%. The street (11 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $69.

2026-07-03 Markup $35.51 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $35.51 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in MBX's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $40.08 -24.2% · $758 -24.2%
2 months $31.00 -2.1% · $980 -2.1%
3 months $27.95 +8.6% · $1,086 +8.6%
6 months $28.43 +6.8% · $1,068 +6.8%
1 year $11.45 +165.1% · $2,651 +165.1%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MBX does next, these words stay.

MBX Biosciences, Inc. · MBX · Markdown · $66.39
Recorded 2026-08-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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