Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Pearson plc provides educational courseware, assessments, and services in the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, the Asia Pacific, other European countries, and internationally.

The label
Markup

read at $16.92

Pearson plc holds its Markup at $16.92.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 72 days
Price$16.92
Valuation25.25 trailing · 15.79 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta-0.04

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$16.92
25.25 P/E · 15.79 fwd
Our fair value
$17.40
3% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$15.35
-9% to current
Target low $13.30Analyst target rangeTarget high $17.40
▲ current $16.92 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$18.0$13.5$9.0TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$17.40 +13%Our fair value$17.40 +13%Analyst high$17.40 +13%Analyst avg$15.35 +0%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$16.92
you are here
Conservative
$17.40
+3%
Analyst avg
$15.35
-9%
Our fair value
$17.40
+3%
Analyst high
$17.40
+3%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.

Revenue growth3.20%
Profit margin9.37%
Debt to equity40.51
Analyst consensusHold · 2 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✓ PASSES

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Pearson sits too close to fair value

Think of Pearson as the steady textbook supplier that still prints the exams and online courses schools rely on. With revenue growing just 3 percent, a 9 percent profit margin and the same ROE, the business delivers reliable but unexciting returns. At 15.8 times forward earnings and only a 3 percent gap to our fair value the shares offer no real opportunity, so we pass.

The ethical screen is clean, yet two analysts rate the stock a hold with a median target below the current price. Unknown moat and slow growth leave little room for outperformance.

Education budgets can shift quickly with policy changes and digital rivals are always circling. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E15.8x
expensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E25.3x
a premium valuation
Revenue growth3.2%
slow but positive growth
Profit margin9.4%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity8.7%
a modest return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity0.41
minimal debt — a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio2.00
healthy short-term liquidity
Beta-0.04
barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap$10.2B
Employees13,665

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to United Kingdom and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in PSO's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

PSO trades on the NYSE (the company is based in United Kingdom). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (2 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $14. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Markup $15.41 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 6%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 15%. The street (2 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $14.

2026-07-03 Markup $15.41 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $15.41 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming PSO
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
1 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $14.70 +4.3% · $1,043 +4.3%
2 months $13.38 +14.6% · $1,146 +14.6%
3 months $12.83 +19.6% $0.24 $1,214 +21.4%
6 months $13.69 +12.0% $0.24 $1,137 +13.7%
1 year $14.46 +6.1% $0.32 $1,083 +8.3%
2 years $11.59 +32.3% $0.63 $1,377 +37.7%
3 years $9.59 +59.9% $0.92 $1,695 +69.5%
5 years $10.80 +42.1% $1.46 $1,555 +55.5%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PSO does next, these words stay.

Pearson plc · PSO · Markup · $16.92
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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