The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
MFIC · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $838M
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (Former name Apollo Investment Corporation) is business development company and a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-06-14
Screened 2026-06-14 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its distribution label.
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation holds its Distribution at $10.17. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 12 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 12 days |
| Price at the screen | $10.17 |
| Valuation | 169.50 trailing · 8.10 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 0.66 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: financial services
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: financial services | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-06-14 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 27.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 8 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +11% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-06-14 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 8.1xvery cheap relative to earnings |
| Trailing P/E | 169.5xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 0.06 |
| EPS, forward | 1.26 |
| Revenue growth | -8.7%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 1.9%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 0.5%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 14.70% |
| Dividend yield | 1,221.00% |
| Debt to equity | 1.59a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 0.92below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 0.66steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.04% |
| 52-week range | 9.48 - 13.51 |
| Market cap | $838M |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeMFIC trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (8 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $11.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $10.77 | -4.5% | $0.31 | $984 | -1.6% |
| 2 months | $11.35 | -9.3% | $0.31 | $934 | -6.6% |
| 3 months | $10.06 | +2.3% | $0.31 | $1,054 | +5.4% |
| 6 months | $11.11 | -7.4% | $0.62 | $982 | -1.8% |
| 1 year | $11.23 | -8.4% | $1.76 | $1,073 | +7.3% |
| 2 years | $12.05 | -14.6% | $3.48 | $1,143 | +14.3% |
| 3 years | $8.40 | +22.5% | $5.00 | $1,820 | +82.0% |
| 5 years | $8.12 | +26.8% | $7.87 | $2,237 | +123.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MFIC does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.