MELI
MercadoLibre
Consumer Discretionary · Internet & Direct Marketing Retail · NASDAQ
$1,545.60
Close 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$78.4B
Trailing P/E
40.75
Forward P/E
25.68
Rev Growth
+49.0%
Profit Margin
6.0%
ROE
31.3%
Analyst Target
$2,236.28
Recommendation
BUY
About MercadoLibre

MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and internationally. The company operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an online commerce platform that can be accessed through mobile app or website; and Mercado Pago, a financial technology solution platform, which offers comprehensive set of financial technology services to users and other users of its e-commerce platform. It also provides Mercado Fondo that allows users to invest funds deposited in their Mercado Pago accounts; Mercado Credito, which grants loans and obtains better funding alternatives; and Mercado Mercado Envios that facilitates the shipping of goods from the Company and sellers to buyers. In addition, the company provides Mercado Libre Classifieds, where users can list vehicles, properties, and services; Mercado Ads, an advertising platform, which enables retailers and brands to promote their products and services on the platform. MercadoLibre, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $1546 against a fair value of $1806, a 14% discount. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 85% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.27%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.09%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 86.2
Score Valuation: 56.5
Score Quality: 78.0
Score Combined: 61.4
Fair Value Est: $1,805.65 · Margin of Safety: +14.4% · Tier: FAIR VALUE

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation59.2
Quality75.5
Cash Flow0.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet34.8
Debt Purity19.1
Liquid Purity73.9
Rev Purity98.4
Compliance58.5
Tier: SILVER · Score: 55.7 · Rank: #772
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-059.01Pending--
2026-05-078.478.23-2.9%
2026-02-2411.4311.03-3.5%
2025-10-289.308.32-10.5%
2025-08-0411.7510.31-12.2%
2025-05-077.999.74+21.9%
2025-02-207.6112.61+65.6%
2024-11-069.937.83-21.2%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$8.8B$417.0M$890.0M$3.9B$611.0M8.23
2025-12-31$8.8B$559.0M$1.1B$3.8B$889.0M11.03
2025-09-30$7.4B$421.0M$880.0M$3.2B$724.0M8.32
2025-06-30$6.8B$523.0M$951.0M$3.1B$825.0M10.31
2025-03-31$5.9B$494.0M$917.0M$2.8B$763.0M9.74
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-02-27MELAMUD MARCELOOfficer57$100.1K
2025-12-12DUBUGRAS HENRIQUE VASONCELOSDirector845$1.7M
2025-12-11CALEMZUK EMILIANODirector45$91.2K
2025-12-09TOLDA STELLEO PASSOSDirector246$503.8K
2025-08-07TOLDA STELLEO PASSOSDirector8--
2025-08-07CALEMZUK EMILIANODirector64--
2025-08-07AGUZIN ALEJANDRO NICOLASDirector64--
2025-08-07SANDERS RICHARD ADirector64--
2025-08-07LAWSON MARTIN RDirector64--
2024-11-29CALEMZUK EMILIANODirector50$99.2K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO3.2M$5.4B0.1%
Capital Research Global Investors2.7M$4.5B0.1%
Capital World Investors2.2M$3.7B0.0%
Capital International Investors1.7M$2.9B0.0%
Morgan Stanley1.6M$2.6B0.0%
Blackrock Inc.1.4M$2.3B0.0%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc1.2M$2.1B0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO847.1K$1.4B0.0%
Eagle Capital Management LLC785.9K$1.3B0.0%
Schroder Investment Management Group697.1K$1.2B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
6
18
2
26 analysts
2 Months Ago
6
18
2
26 analysts
Last Month
7
18
26 analysts
Current
6
15
4
25 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$91.1B
Price/Book
11.59
Beta
1.406
Analysts
25
Total Revenue (TTM)
$31.8B
Total Debt
$12.4B
Earnings Growth
-15.6%
Rec. Mean
1.56
Short Ratio
2.31
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
123,670

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 61.4 (P96 — top 3.5% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 25 analysts at Buy.
Price: $1,545.60 | Target: $2,230.28 (+44%) | Fair Value: $1,805.65 (+17%)
Score
61
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+44%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+49.0%
Profit Margin6.0%
ROE31.3%
Forward P/E25.7
Market Cap$78.4B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-05$9.01Pending
2026-05-07$8.47$8.23-2.9%
2026-02-24$11.43$11.03-3.5%
2025-10-28$9.30$8.32-10.5%
2025-08-04$11.75$10.31-12.2%
2025-05-07$7.99$9.74+21.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $1,313.76 (-15%) | Entry: $1,545.60
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($2,230.28, 25 analysts)
10$15,456.00+$6,846.80 (44%)3.0R
50$77,280.00+$34,234.00 (44%)3.0R
100$154,560.00+$68,468.00 (44%)3.0R
To Fair Value ($1,805.65)
10$15,456.00+$2,600.50 (17%)1.1R
50$77,280.00+$13,002.50 (17%)1.1R
100$154,560.00+$26,005.00 (17%)1.1R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
MercadoLibre passes all ethical screens, holds a unknown competitive moat, and is growing revenue at +49.0%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
51.2
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.8%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-6.4%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.06
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
3.2x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
37.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
6862.HK-0.149
TABREED.AE-0.147
0960.HK-0.139
9008.T-0.138
BAES.L-0.135
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Aug
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.17298284507136066
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+12.5%
Beat Drift Positive %
66.7%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-10.2%
3M Return
-14.3%
6M Return
-13.2%
12M Return
-36.8%
Momentum Rank
#4012
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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