NAS10028,621+1.56%S&P7,714+1.92%GOLD$4,077+3.45%BTC$80,598+4.21%VIX16.86−19.06%latest tape · as of 18:06 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
eBay Inc.
EBAY · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $53.9B · 12,300 employees
eBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
118.62 USD
Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 18:06 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price118.62 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.99, read 2026-11-01
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price118.62 USD
Fair value138.24
Ethical score10.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 3 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-11-04Read Markup118.62+0.0% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Markup first Markup read since October
2026-10-22Read Accumulation122.91-3.5% to today Markup gives way to Accumulation first Accumulation read since October
2026-10-21Read Markup122.91-3.5% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup after a 14% rise in 3 weeks
2026-10-02Read Accumulation107.90+9.9% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Accumulation while volume is distributing
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
eBay Inc. holds its Markup at $118.62. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 43 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-03
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 43 days
Price at the screen
$118.62
Valuation
26.46 trailing · 17.72 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
1.32
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
40.77%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 40.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
15.71%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 15.7% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
17.14%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 17.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
2.39%
Below 5%
Only 2.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
eBay's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 41% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when EBAY's ethical verdict changes
Today EBAY does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.
Conscience flag · Boycott-Israel.org A Simple Boycott List
The quantitative screen above is arithmetic. Separately, community boycott lists cite this company: Documented on Boycott-Israel.org A Simple Boycott List. The desk records that flag here without folding it into the verdict: the screen measures the balance sheet, the overlay informs the conscience, and they are different judgements that belong to different owners. The second one is yours.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 13% discount to our $138.24 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 14.80% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 14.2% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $138.24, with a range of $112.86 to $188.11, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Flea Market Icon Stumbles on Heavy Debt
Picture the old online marketplace still shifting goods from living rooms to buyers worldwide. Revenue is rising 20 percent, margins sit at 18 percent and return on equity reaches 43 percent, yet the numbers do not change the verdict.
We pass because the ethical screen flags the debt ratio. A moderate moat and a 16.6 times forward multiple look reasonable on paper, but the leverage breach rules the name out regardless of the 16 percent margin of safety to our fair value.
The risk is straightforward. High debt leaves less room if retail spending slows or competition intensifies, and the hold rating from 27 analysts at a 113 dollar median target already prices in limited upside. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
EBAY trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04Markup · changed$118.62-3.5%Entry 16
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108.
2026-10-28Accumulation$122.91+0.0%Entry 15
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27Accumulation$122.91+0.0%Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26Accumulation$122.91+0.0%Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25Accumulation$122.91+0.0%Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24Accumulation$122.91+0.0%Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23Accumulation$122.91+0.0%Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21Markup · changed$122.91+0.0%Entry 8
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 23% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-16Accumulation$122.91+13.9%Entry 7
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 13.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $108.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
