MAIA
MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
Healthcare · Biotechnology · ASE
$1.29
Close 2026-05-14
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$78.4M
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
0.48
Rev Growth
Profit Margin
0.0%
ROE
-148.3%
Analyst Target
$12.13
Recommendation
NONE
About MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.

MAIA Biotechnology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of targeted immunotherapies for cancer. Its lead product Ateganosine, a telomere-targeting agent currently in clinical development to evaluate its activity in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC). The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $1 against a fair value of $40, a 97% discount. Fails ethical screen (Cash ratio). Ranks better than 71% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.44%)FAIL
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 20.0
Score Combined: 41.2
Fair Value Est: $40.50 · Margin of Safety: +3039.5% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality6.2
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity100.0
Liquid Purity0.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance70.6
Tier: GOLD · Score: 72.3 · Rank: #232
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-05-11-0.18-0.14+22.2%
2026-03-23-0.13-0.14-5.2%
2025-11-07-0.19-0.27-42.1%
2025-08-11-0.25-0.17+32.8%
2025-08-08-0.25Pending--
2025-05-09-0.18-0.16+11.1%
2025-03-21-0.35-0.20+43.7%
2024-11-12-0.47-0.11+76.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31-$6.4M-$6.7M-$6.7M-0.14
2025-12-31-$3.6M-$3.6M-$4.0M
2025-09-30-$8.9M-$8.9M-$9.4M-0.27
2025-06-30-$5.3M-$5.2M-$5.2M-0.18
2025-03-31-$4.5M-$5.4M-$5.4M-0.16
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2025-12-22LOUIE NGAR YEEDirector81,699$100.0K
2025-12-22CHAOUKI STEVEN MDirector40,849$50.0K
2025-12-22SMITH STAN VDirector57,189$70.0K
2025-12-05SMITH STAN VDirector13,740$16.4K
2025-11-28VITOC VLADChief Executive Officer72,000$79.8K
2025-11-28VITOC VLADChief Executive Officer72,000$79.8K
2025-11-28LUPUT CRISTIANDirector38,145$41.8K
2025-11-26SMITH STAN VDirector15,000$15.6K
2025-11-25VITOC VLADChief Executive Officer10,500$10.1K
2025-11-25VITOC VLADChief Executive Officer10,500$10.1K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Solas Capital Management, LLC4.3M$5.5M0.1%
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2.5M$3.2M0.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC2.1M$2.7M0.0%
683 Capital Management LLC1.1M$1.4M0.0%
Centric Wealth Management796.7K$1.0M0.0%
Cable Car Capital, LP648.5K$830.1K0.0%
Bleichroeder LP500.0K$640.0K0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC360.5K$461.4K0.0%
Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co199.3K$255.1K0.0%
State Street Corporation138.9K$177.9K0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
2 Months Ago
1
1 analysts
Last Month
1
1 analysts
Current
1
1 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$43.4M
Price/Book
20.65
Beta
0.226
Analysts
2
Rec. Mean
1.00
Short Ratio
4.71
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
13

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 41.2 (P47 — top 53.3% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 2 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $1.29 | Target: $12.13 (+841%) | Fair Value: $40.50 (+3040%)
Score
41
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+841%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth0.0%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE-148.3%
Forward P/E0.5
Market Cap$78.4M
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-05-11$-0.18$-0.14+22.2%
2026-03-23$-0.13$-0.14-5.2%
2025-11-07$-0.19$-0.27-42.1%
2025-08-11$-0.25$-0.17+32.8%
2025-08-08$-0.25Pending
2025-05-09$-0.18$-0.16+11.1%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $1.10 (-15%) | Entry: $1.29
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($12.13, 2 analysts)
10$12.90+$108.40 (841%)57.1R
50$64.50+$542.00 (841%)57.1R
100$129.00+$1,084.00 (841%)57.1R
To Fair Value ($40.50)
10$12.90+$392.10 (3040%)206.4R
50$64.50+$1,960.50 (3040%)206.4R
100$129.00+$3,921.00 (3040%)206.4R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.71 days to cover)
The Verdict
MAIA Biotechnology, Inc. holds a weak competitive moat and trades at a 3039.5% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
34.3
Risk Grade
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-8.0%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-13.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.87
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-82.9%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
55
Liquidity Grade
MODERATE
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
75.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.05171435909991312
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+1.2%
Beat Drift Positive %
60.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+4.7%
3M Return
-45.0%
6M Return
+52.7%
12M Return
-25.7%
Momentum Rank
#3224
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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