KR
Kroger
Consumer Staples · Food Retail · US
$65.64
Close 2026-01-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$41.5B
Trailing P/E
42.60
Forward P/E
11.70
Rev Growth
+1.2%
Profit Margin
0.7%
ROE
14.4%
Analyst Target
$75.55
Recommendation
BUY
About Kroger

The Kroger Co. operates as a food and drug retailer in the United States. The company operates combination food and drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price impact warehouses. Its combination food and drug stores offer natural food and organic sections, pharmacies, general merchandise, pet centers, fresh seafood, and organic produce; and its multi-department stores provide apparel, home fashion and furnishings, outdoor living, electronics, automotive products, and toys. The company's marketplace stores offer full-service grocery, pharmacy, health and beauty care, and perishable goods, as well as general merchandise, including apparel, home goods, and toys; and its price impact warehouse stores provide grocery, and health and beauty care items, as well as meat, dairy, baked goods, and fresh produce items. It also manufactures and processes food products for sale in its supermarkets and online; and sells fuel through its fuel centers. The company sells its products through its stores, fuel centers, and online platforms. The Kroger Co. was founded in 1883 and is based in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $66 against a fair value of $112, a 41% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 64% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.49%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.02%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.11%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 88.0
Score Quality: 41.0
Score Combined: 44.8
Fair Value Est: $112.00 · Margin of Safety: +70.6% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation72.9
Quality34.6
Cash Flow100.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity92.5
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance56.6
Tier: SILVER · Score: 69.1 · Rank: #309
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-06-181.46Pending--
2026-03-051.201.28+6.5%
2025-12-041.031.05+1.7%
2025-09-111.001.04+4.2%
2025-06-201.461.49+2.2%
2025-03-061.111.14+2.5%
2024-12-050.970.84-13.2%
2024-09-120.910.93+1.7%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-01-31$34.7B$861.0M$2.1B$8.1B$1.2B1.36
2025-10-31$33.9B-$1.3B-$728.0M$7.9B-$1.5B-2.02
2025-07-31$33.9B$609.0M$1.8B$7.8B$863.0M0.91
2025-04-30$45.1B$866.0M$2.5B$10.6B$1.3B1.30
2025-01-31$34.3B$634.0M$1.8B$7.9B$912.0M0.91
2024-10-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-12JABBAR VALERIE LOfficer13,140--
2026-03-12NICHOLS BRIAN WOfficer5,558--
2026-03-12KENNERLEY DAVID JOHN CHRISTOPHERChief Financial Officer18,386--
2026-03-12KELLEY JOSEPH MICHAELOfficer9,345--
2026-03-12SHAFFER MEGAN NOfficer4,159--
2026-03-12VINCENT GEORGE H.Officer8,455--
2026-03-12FIKE CARIN LOfficer and Treasurer3,194--
2026-03-12ARREAGA GABRIELOfficer6,504--
2026-03-12ADCOCK MARY ELLENOfficer29,481--
2026-03-12COSSET YAELOfficer36,961--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.53.1M$3.6B0.1%
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc50.0M$3.4B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC36.4M$2.4B0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC31.7M$2.1B0.1%
State Street Corporation30.5M$2.0B0.0%
Wellington Management Group, LLP23.5M$1.6B0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC16.0M$1.1B0.0%
Franklin Resources, Inc.15.2M$1.0B0.0%
FMR, LLC13.8M$931.1M0.0%
GQG Partners LLC12.7M$856.6M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
11
12
24 analysts
2 Months Ago
11
13
25 analysts
Last Month
11
13
25 analysts
Current
11
13
24 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$75.0B
Price/Book
7.27
Beta
0.457
Analysts
22
Total Revenue (TTM)
$147.6B
Total Debt
$24.7B
Earnings Growth
+50.9%
Dividend Yield
213.0%
Rec. Mean
2.08
Short Ratio
5.30
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
403,000

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 44.8 (P59 — top 40.9% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 22 analysts at Buy.
Price: $65.64 | Target: $75.55 (+15%) | Fair Value: $112.00 (+71%)
Score
45
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+15%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+1.2%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE14.4%
Forward P/E11.7
Market Cap$41.5B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-06-18$1.46Pending
2026-03-05$1.20$1.28+6.5%
2025-12-04$1.03$1.05+1.7%
2025-09-11$1.00$1.04+4.2%
2025-06-20$1.46$1.49+2.2%
2025-03-06$1.11$1.14+2.5%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $55.79 (-15%) | Entry: $65.64
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($75.55, 22 analysts)
10$656.40+$99.10 (15%)1.0R
50$3,282.00+$495.50 (15%)1.0R
100$6,564.00+$991.00 (15%)1.0R
To Fair Value ($112.00)
10$656.40+$463.60 (71%)4.7R
50$3,282.00+$2,318.00 (71%)4.7R
100$6,564.00+$4,636.00 (71%)4.7R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (5.30 days to cover)
The Verdict
Kroger holds a weak competitive moat and trades at a 70.6% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
41.8
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER,STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.5%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.85
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-19.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.0x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
87.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
AERO-0.332
LRCX-0.307
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SHAW.L-0.283
KLAC-0.282
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Nov
Worst Month
May
Fri-Mon Effect
0.23833446144109818
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+2.7%
Beat Drift Positive %
85.7%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-3.5%
3M Return
-7.0%
6M Return
-1.0%
12M Return
-3.0%
Momentum Rank
#3272
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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