NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,416+0.37%BTC$81,250+6.34%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 23:00 UTC · 18 Sep
The Screen · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
ACI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $6.1B · 106,400 employees
Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
12.56 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-16
Screened 2026-09-16 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 18 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markup label.
Albertsons Companies, Inc. holds its Markup at $12.56. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 15 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 15 days
Price at the screen
$12.56
Valuation
78.50 trailing · 6.79 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 64.7
Beta
0.20
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
57.15%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 57.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
4.23%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 4.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.01%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 29.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 16 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +4% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Supermarket shelves stocked but the till stays empty
Every week shoppers fill their trolleys with milk, bread and prescriptions, yet Albertsons turns none of that into profit. Revenue is rising 8 percent, the forward multiple sits at just 6.2 times, and our fair-value estimate is $25 against the current $15 price. None of that matters when the profit margin prints at zero and return on equity reaches only 8 percent. We pass.
The business model looks defensive on paper, groceries and pharmacies never go away. Still, the lack of earnings leaves no cushion for higher wages, fuel costs or any fresh price war with bigger rivals. Analysts see a buy and point to $20, but zero bottom-line delivery turns the low multiple into a warning rather than a bargain.
Currency moves and labour contracts add further pressure in a sector already known for thin returns. Ethical screen clears, yet the numbers show no durable edge worth backing today. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ACI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-20Distribution$12.01-20.5%Entry 6
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 20.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $21.
2026-07-20Distribution$15.11-7.6%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $21.
2026-07-18Distribution$16.36+0.0%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $21.
2026-07-16Distribution$16.36+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (65). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (16 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $21.
2026-07-03Distribution$16.36+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (65). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$16.36Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (65). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
