The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
IBIT · USD
The shares are intended to constitute a simple means of making an investment similar to an investment in bitcoin rather than by acquiring, holding and trading bitcoin directly on a peer-to-peer or other basis or via a di…
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-06-14
Screened 2026-06-14 · the tape above runs as of 00:05 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF holds its Accumulation at $36.05. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days |
| Price at the screen | $36.05 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Financial sector: Financial
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Financial sector: Financial | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 44%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $46.47 | -24.7% | · | $753 | -24.7% |
| 2 months | $41.56 | -15.8% | · | $842 | -15.8% |
| 3 months | $39.95 | -12.4% | · | $876 | -12.4% |
| 6 months | $52.10 | -32.8% | · | $672 | -32.8% |
| 1 year | $62.29 | -43.8% | · | $562 | -43.8% |
| 2 years | $39.59 | -11.6% | · | $884 | -11.6% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever IBIT does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.