Screened 2026-09-10 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Golar LNG Limited holds its Accumulation at $52.69. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-10
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 2 days
Price at the screen
$52.69
Valuation
36.09 trailing · 94.10 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL
Beta
0.04
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
47.84%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 47.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
20.15%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 20.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
0.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades above our $35.87 fair value estimate, weak competitive moat, 72.40% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-10 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 31.9% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +27% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-10 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
LNG booms often mask the debt trap
Imagine a gas tanker riding a sudden wave of demand only to hit a debt wall when prices turn. Golar LNG finds itself in that position, with revenue up 120% yet trading at a 46 times forward multiple well above our fair value of $36.53 against the current $49.65 price.
We pass because the 30% profit margin and 9% ROE sit alongside a weak moat and an ethical screen failure on debt levels. Cyclical energy names often flash high growth right at peak earnings, turning what looks like momentum into a classic value trap rather than a durable opportunity.
Analyst targets may point higher, yet the combination of elevated valuation, thin returns and leverage creates real downside when the cycle shifts. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GLNG trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (9 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $60.
2026-07-31Markdown · changed$49.65-2.0%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (9 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $60.
2026-07-18Distribution$50.67+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 19% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (9 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $60.
2026-07-03Distribution$50.67+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$50.67Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
