Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

Everest Group logoEverest Group EG

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Everest Group, Ltd., together with subsidiaries, provides reinsurance and insurance products in the United States, Europe, and internationally.

The label
Markup

read at $382.57

Everest Group holds its Markup at $382.57.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 123 days
Price$382.57
Valuation7.79 trailing · 6.33 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta0.29

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads AVOID — it trades at roughly a 27% discount to our $484.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat.

Read at
$382.57
7.79 P/E · 6.33 fwd
Our fair value
$484.00
27% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$395.00
+3% to current
Target low $360.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $484.00
▲ current $382.57 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$504$358$212TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$484.00 +44%Our fair value$484.00 +44%Analyst high$484.00 +44%Analyst avg$395.00 +18%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$382.57
you are here
Conservative
$484.00
+27%
Analyst avg
$395.00
+3%
Our fair value
$484.00
+27%
Analyst high
$484.00
+27%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.

Revenue growth-4.70%
Profit margin11.73%
Debt to equity23.47
Analyst consensusBuy · 15 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its business activity screen. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Business activity: Financials sector Fail

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Reinsurer valuation hides a clear ethical fail

Picture a Bermuda reinsurer taking premiums on everything from Florida hurricanes to European factories. Everest Group trades at 6.3 times forward earnings with a 14 percent return on equity, yet the numbers sit beside falling revenue and only moderate competitive protection.

We pass for one straightforward reason. The business activity screen flags the company, and that single ethical breach overrides any apparent cheapness on paper.

The low multiple may simply reflect peak cycle earnings rather than a durable bargain, while consensus targets sit only modestly above the current price. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E6.3x
very cheap relative to earnings
Trailing P/E7.8x
very cheap relative to earnings
Revenue growth-4.7%
revenue is shrinking
Profit margin11.7%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity13.8%
a solid return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity0.23
minimal debt — a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio0.38
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.29
barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap$15.1B
Employees3,064

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Bermuda and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in EG's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

EG trades on a US exchange (the company is based in Bermuda). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 14.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $388. Entered 2026-07-27 · Accumulation

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-27 Accumulation $382.57 +14.4% Entry 4

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 14.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $388.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $334.41 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 1%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 11%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $388.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $334.41 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $334.41 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · EG
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-12 HABAYEB ELIAS F Chief Financial Officer 21,098 $7,400,545
2026-05-07 KEEN JASON WARWICK Officer 775 $272,676
2026-04-01 HARTZBAND MERYL D. Director 96 $31,227
2026-04-01 PAGE ALAN DARRYL Director 96 $31,227
2026-04-01 HOWARD JOHN M Director 96 $31,227
2026-04-01 LEVINE ALLAN Director 96 $31,227
2026-03-13 KOCIANCIC MARK Chief Financial Officer 1,369 $442,009
2026-03-13 WILLIAMSON JAMES ALLAN Chief Executive Officer 1,129 $364,520
2026-03-13 BEGGS JILL Officer 684 $220,843
2026-02-26 KOCIANCIC MARK Chief Financial Officer 3,691 $1,250,105

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming EG
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
8 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
6 May2026 Scott Peters Democrat buy 250K–500K
5 Jun2026 Gil Cisneros Democrat buy 15K–50K
30 Apr2026 Dave McCormick Republican sell 100K–250K
27 May2026 John Boozman Republican sell 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $350.78 -4.2% · $958 -4.2%
2 months $329.87 +1.8% · $1,018 +1.8%
3 months $320.34 +4.9% $2.00 $1,055 +5.5%
6 months $322.37 +4.2% $2.00 $1,048 +4.8%
1 year $334.20 +0.5% $2.00 $1,011 +1.1%
2 years $371.05 -9.5% $10.00 $932 -6.8%
3 years $328.92 +2.1% $17.25 $1,074 +7.4%
5 years $231.91 +44.9% $30.15 $1,579 +57.9%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever EG does next, these words stay.

Everest Group · EG · Markup · $382.57
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

Get our weekly market brief free.