BABA
Alibaba Group Holding
Consumer Discretionary · Internet Retail · NYSE (ADR)
$140.06
Close 2026-05-10
✓ ETHICAL PASS

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$320.2B
Trailing P/E
20.60
Forward P/E
14.29
Rev Growth
+2.9%
Profit Margin
10.1%
ROE
9.2%
Analyst Target
$190.81
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
About Alibaba Group Holding

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates digital retail platforms under the Taobao and Tmall names; wholesale marketplaces through 1688.com and Alibaba.com; global e-commerce platform under the AliExpress name; e-commerce platforms under the Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz names; and consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace under the Tmall Global, Tmall Supermarket, and Xianyu names. The company also operates Cainiao, an e-commerce logistics solution; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; and Amap, a provider of mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information; Youku, an online video platform; and Damai Entertainment that provides content production, promotion and distribution, performance and event ticketing management, IP-related licensing and operations, cinema ticketing management, and internet data services for the entertainment industry. In addition, it provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database, big data, cloud native, and Alibaba cloud model studio services; and hardware, software license and installation, and application development and maintenance services, as well as sells membership packages and subscriptions. Further, the company offers Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and goods; Alibaba Health for medical and healthcare solutions; mobile games under the Lingxi Games name; UC Browser, an information service platform; Quark, an information services platform for young users; Fliggy, an online travel platform; and DingTalk, a collaboration workplace and enterprise management platform. It also offers the Alibaba Token Hub (ATH) Business, which develops multimodal foundation models; the MaaS Business Line, which builds AI technical infrastructure; and th

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $133, 19% above fair value of $112. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 86% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio
Cash Ratio
Receivables Ratio
Revenue Ratio
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 50.0
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 52.2
Score Combined: 48.5
Fair Value Est: $112.08 · Margin of Safety: -19.1% · Tier: FAIR VALUE

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation99.3
Quality42.1
Cash Flow50.0
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet97.7
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 54.0 · Rank: #1026
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-2810.20Pending--
2026-05-135.740.62-89.2%
2026-03-1910.947.09-35.2%
2025-11-255.784.36-24.6%
2025-08-2915.4714.75-4.7%
2025-05-1512.8112.52-2.3%
2025-02-2015.9020.39+28.3%
2024-11-1514.7715.06+1.9%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$243.4B$25.5B$36.2B$84.0B-$848.0M10.96
2025-12-31$284.8B$16.4B$27.3B$115.3B$20.2B7.04
2025-09-30$247.8B$21.0B$27.3B$97.0B$5.4B9.04
2025-06-30$247.7B$40.6B$53.5B$111.2B$35.0B18.56
2025-03-31$236.5B$12.6B$21.8B$90.8B$28.5B5.36
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO20.5M$2.7B0.0%
Primecap Management Company18.7M$2.4B0.0%
UBS Group AG10.6M$1.4B0.0%
Dodge & Cox Inc.9.9M$1.3B0.0%
HSBC Holdings PLC9.1M$1.2B0.0%
FMR, LLC7.8M$1.0B0.0%
Morgan Stanley6.1M$798.8M0.0%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc5.7M$741.8M0.0%
UBS AM, a distinct business unit of UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC5.5M$719.5M0.0%
Bank of America Corporation5.2M$679.0M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
8
31
2
42 analysts
2 Months Ago
7
31
3
42 analysts
Last Month
8
29
4
42 analysts
Current
8
30
2
41 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Recent Price History
2026-05-10
$140.06
2026-05-09
$140.06
2026-05-08
$141.44
2026-05-08
$141.44
5D Range
May 8
May 8
May 9
May 10
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$2.5T
Price/Book
1.94
Beta
0.494
Analysts
40
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.0T
Total Debt
$281.7B
Earnings Growth
+104.1%
Dividend Yield
0.7%
Rec. Mean
1.37
Short Ratio
4.11
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
131,462

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 48.5 (P70 — top 29.9% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical PASS. 40 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $140.06 | Target: $191.29 (+37%) | Fair Value: $112.08 (+-20%)
Score
48
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+37%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+2.9%
Profit Margin10.1%
ROE9.2%
Forward P/E14.3
Market Cap$320.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-28$10.20Pending
2026-05-13$5.74$0.62-89.2%
2026-03-19$10.94$7.09-35.2%
2025-11-25$5.78$4.36-24.6%
2025-08-29$15.47$14.75-4.7%
2025-05-15$12.81$12.52-2.3%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $119.05 (-15%) | Entry: $140.06
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($191.29, 40 analysts)
10$1,400.60+$512.30 (37%)2.4R
50$7,003.00+$2,561.50 (37%)2.4R
100$14,006.00+$5,123.00 (37%)2.4R
To Fair Value ($112.08)
10$1,400.60+$-279.80 (-20%)-1.3R
50$7,003.00+$-1,399.00 (-20%)-1.3R
100$14,006.00+$-2,798.00 (-20%)-1.3R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.11 days to cover)
The Verdict
Alibaba Group Holding passes all ethical screens and holds a narrow competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
43.6
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.9%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.95
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
37.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.195
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SOOR.KW-0.122
ESTERAD.BH-0.120
RASIYAT.KW-0.112
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
Sep
Worst Month
Nov
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.7266767990441173
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+1.4%
Beat Drift Positive %
66.7%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-4.7%
3M Return
-15.4%
6M Return
-15.5%
12M Return
+8.4%
Momentum Rank
#3670
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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