NAS100 29,368 +0.91% S&P 7,657 +0.86% GOLD $4,390 +0.58% BTC $77,267 +0.91% VIX 15.84 −11.21% live tape · as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep
Vol. II · No. 255Saturday, 12 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Financials · Banks - Regional

Ames National Corporation

ATLO · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $248M · 259 employees

Ames National Corporation operates as a multi-bank holding company that provides banking products and services primarily in Boone, Clarke, Hancock, Marshall, Polk, Story, Taylor, and Union Counties in central, north-cent…

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
29.81 USD

At the last full screen
2026-05-13

Screened 2026-05-13 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

Ames National Corporation holds its Accumulation at $29.81. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 423 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-05-13
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 423 days
Price at the screen$29.81
Valuation11.56 trailing · 9.92 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta0.29
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Business activity

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Financial sector: banks Fail
Debt load 0.00% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 0.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 0.00% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 4% discount to our $31.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 28.00% revenue growth.

31.00Conservative31.00Base case52.88Growth case 29.81Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-05-13 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 4.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.

Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.

Price History & Projections
$32.2$23.8$15.4TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONConservative$31.00 +3%Street avg$31.00 +3%Our fair value$31.00 +3%Street high$31.00 +3%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-05-13 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it gives us pause

At 9.9x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. Our fair value sits at $31.00, below where it trades today. The moderate moat is real, but quality alone does not make an expensive price cheap.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E9.9xcheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E11.6xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing2.42
EPS, forward2.82
Revenue growth+28.0%strong top-line growth
Profit margin31.2%highly profitable on every dollar of sales
Return on equity11.0%a modest return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield344.00%
Debt to equity0.00minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Beta0.29barely tracks the market's swings
Short interest, float0.02%
52-week range16.94 - 29.71
MoatMODERATE
Market cap$248M
Employees259

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

ATLO trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-08-22 Accumulation $29.81 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-22 Accumulation $29.81 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $29.81 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $29.81 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $29.81 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · ATLO
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-15 HAGAN PATRICK G Director 200 $5,538
2026-05-12 HAGAN PATRICK G Director 100 $2,765
2026-04-30 CASSABAUM MICHELLE R Director 84 $2,359
2026-02-27 CASSABAUM MICHELLE R Director 205 $5,586
2026-01-30 CASSABAUM MICHELLE R Director 280 $7,311
2025-12-10 TROST SCOT A Director 200 $4,576
2025-12-02 BAUER SCOTT T Officer of Subsidiary Company 20 $434
2025-11-26 BAUER SCOTT T Officer of Subsidiary Company 187 $4,016
2025-11-21 SWARTZ KEVIN L Director 200 $4,160
2025-11-17 PUTZIER JEFFREY K Officer of Subsidiary Company 200 $4,250

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $27.80 +8.7% $0.24 $1,095 +9.5%
2 months $29.06 +4.0% $0.24 $1,048 +4.8%
3 months $26.42 +14.4% $0.24 $1,153 +15.3%
6 months $23.33 +29.5% $0.48 $1,316 +31.6%
1 year $17.11 +76.6% $0.88 $1,817 +81.7%
2 years $18.51 +63.2% $1.75 $1,727 +72.7%
3 years $16.55 +82.6% $2.83 $1,997 +99.7%
5 years $19.91 +51.7% $4.96 $1,766 +76.6%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ATLO does next, these words stay.

Ames National Corporation · ATLO · Accumulation · $29.81
Recorded 2026-05-13 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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