ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
Technology · Communication Equipment · NMS
$19.40
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$1.6B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
25.53
Rev Growth
+15.5%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
ROE
-4.9%
Analyst Target
$19.00
Recommendation
BUY
About ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. provides networking and communications platforms, software, systems, and services in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Network Solutions, and Services & Support. It offers residential gateways; ethernet passive optical network ONUs; gigabit passive optical network/XGS-PON ONTs; routers, and switches; edge cloud; carrier ethernet network interface devices; Optical Line Terminals; Packet Aggregation, Copper Access, and Oscilloquartz; optical transport and engine solutions; infrastructure monitoring solution; and training, professional, software, and managed services. The company provides various software, such as Mosaic One SaaS, n-Command, Procloud, MCP, AOE, and ACI-E. It serves large, medium, and small service providers; alternative service providers, such as utilities, municipalities and fiber overbuilders; cable/MSOs; and SMBs and distributed enterprises. ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 50.5
Score Quality: 30.0
Score Combined: 41.1

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation69.5
Quality25.0
Cash Flow36.6
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 42.9 · Rank: #3866
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$1.9B
Price/Book
9.91
Beta
1.466
Analysts
6
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.1B
Total Debt
$243.4M
Rec. Mean
1.56
Short Ratio
3.98
Short % Float
0.2%
Employees
3,201

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 41.1 (P46 — top 53.8% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 6 analysts at Buy.
Price: $19.40 | Target: $19.50 (+1%)
Score
41
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+1%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+15.5%
Profit Margin-3.2%
ROE-4.9%
Forward P/E25.5
Market Cap$1.6B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $16.49 (-15%) | Entry: $19.40
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($19.50, 6 analysts)
10$194.00+$1.00 (1%)0.0R
50$970.00+$5.00 (1%)0.0R
100$1,940.00+$10.00 (1%)0.0R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.98 days to cover)
The Verdict
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
63.2
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Quality: HMM_CRISIS
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-9.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.08
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-39.3%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
80
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.9x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.180
SUNC-0.166
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Aug
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.6387899729234985
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+4.7%
3M Return
+70.7%
6M Return
+130.2%
12M Return
+110.7%
Momentum Rank
#223
Momentum Signal
STRONG_UP

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