FENC
Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Healthcare · Biotechnology · NCM

$9.79
Close 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

WEAK MOAT

HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available

Market Cap
$339.8M
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
9.43
Rev Growth
+72.6%
Profit Margin
-16.4%
ROE
-52.7%
Analyst Target
$15.17
Recommendation
STRONG BUY

About Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. The company’s product candidate includes PEDMARK, a formulation of sodium thiosulfate for the prevention of cisplatin-induced ototoxicity pediatric patients. It sells its products through regional pediatric oncology specialists and medical science liaisons. Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. has collaboration with Tampa General Hospital Foundation, Inc. for evaluation of clinical utility of sodium thiosulfate injection in reducing the risk of ototoxicity in adolescent, young adult, and adult cancer patients receiving cisplatin-based treatment; and Norgine Pharma UK Limited. The company was formerly known as Adherex Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. in September 2014. Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Research Triangle Park, North Carolina.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $10 against a fair value of $31, a 69% discount. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 98% of screened stocks.

Ethical Screen
Business Activity PASS
Debt Ratio (0.00%) PASS
Cash Ratio (0.11%) PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.00%) PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%) PASS
Overall PASS
Score Ethical: 95.7
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 33.8
Score Combined: 58.3
Fair Value Est: $31.15 · Margin of Safety: +68.6% · Tier: OPPORTUNITY

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality25.0
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity100.0
Liquid Purity65.2
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance89.8
Tier: GOLD · Score: 78.3 · Rank: #96

Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
Date EPS Est. Reported EPS Surprise %
2026-08-13 0.02 Pending
2026-05-14 -0.02 0.01 +160.0%
2026-03-24 0.04 -0.10 -350.2%
2025-11-13 -0.02 -0.02 +20.0%
2025-08-14 -0.03 -0.11 -281.7%
2025-05-13 -0.08 -0.04 +52.9%
2025-03-10 -0.13 -0.06 +53.9%
2024-11-07 -0.08 -0.21 -162.5%

Quarterly Financials
Period Revenue Net Income EBITDA Gross Profit Op. Income EPS
2026-03-31 $15.1M $201.0K $234.0K $14.5M -$119.0K 0.01
2025-12-31 $13.8M -$4.8M -$4.3M $12.0M -$2.6M -0.17
2025-09-30 $12.5M -$638.0K -$26.0K $11.8M -$201.0K -0.02
2025-06-30 $9.7M -$3.2M -$2.5M $8.7M -$2.7M -0.11
2025-03-31 $8.8M -$1.2M -$547.0K $8.4M -$821.0K -0.04
2024-12-31

Insider Transactions
Date Name Role Shares Value
2026-05-11 RALLIS CHRISTOPHER ANIGERON Director 14,344 $35.0K
2026-05-11 RALLIS CHRISTOPHER ANIGERON Director 8,346 $58.8K
2026-05-01 RAYKOV ROSTISLAV CHRISTOV Director 18,376 $38.2K
2026-05-01 RAYKOV ROSTISLAV CHRISTOV Director 10,781 $69.8K
2026-04-30 CIOFFI CHRISTIANA MARIE Officer 155
2026-04-30 EVANS TERRY L Officer 168
2026-04-30 HACKMAN JEFFREY S Chief Executive Officer 1,159
2026-04-30 SAYAD PIERRE SARGIS PH.D. Officer 168
2026-04-30 ANDRADE ROBERT C Chief Financial Officer 1,703
2026-04-01 RAYKOV ROSTISLAV CHRISTOV Director 15,598 $38.2K
Top Institutional Holders
Holder Shares Value % Held
Rosalind Advisors, Inc. 2.9M $28.9M 0.1%
Southpoint Capital Advisors Lp 2.7M $27.3M 0.1%
Solas Capital Management, LLC 2.5M $24.6M 0.1%
AIGH Capital Management LLC 2.0M $19.7M 0.1%
Blackrock Inc. 1.4M $13.6M 0.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 897.1K $8.9M 0.0%
AWM Investment Company, Inc. 720.1K $7.2M 0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 371.7K $3.7M 0.0%
State Street Corporation 359.1K $3.6M 0.0%
Potomac Capital Management, Inc. 224.4K $2.2M 0.0%

Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
1
5
6 analysts

2 Months Ago
1
5
6 analysts

Last Month
1
5
6 analysts

Current
2
5
7 analysts

Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$304.8M
Price/Book
9.10
Beta
0.913
Analysts
6
Total Revenue (TTM)
$51.0M
Rec. Mean
1.29
Short Ratio
7.12
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
35

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration

The Opportunity
Score 58.3 (P92 — top 7.6% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical PASS. 7 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $9.79 | Target: $15.57 (+59%) | Fair Value: $31.15 (+218%)

Score
58

Moat
WEAK

Conviction
Standard

Upside
+59%

The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+72.6%
Profit Margin-16.4%
ROE-52.7%
Forward P/E9.4
Market Cap$339.8M

Earnings Track Record
Date Estimate Reported Surprise
2026-08-13 $0.02 Pending
2026-05-14 $-0.02 $0.01 +160.0%
2026-03-24 $0.04 $-0.10 -350.2%
2025-11-13 $-0.02 $-0.02 +20.0%
2025-08-14 $-0.03 $-0.11 -281.7%
2025-05-13 $-0.08 $-0.04 +52.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $8.32 (-15%) | Entry: $9.79
Shares Cost Profit to Target R:R
To Consensus ($15.57, 7 analysts)
10 $97.90 +$57.80 (59%) 3.9R
50 $489.50 +$289.00 (59%) 3.9R
100 $979.00 +$578.00 (59%) 3.9R
To Fair Value ($31.15)
10 $97.90 +$213.60 (218%) 14.5R
50 $489.50 +$1,068.00 (218%) 14.5R
100 $979.00 +$2,136.00 (218%) 14.5R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (7.12 days to cover)

The Verdict
Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. passes all ethical screens, holds a weak competitive moat, is growing revenue at +72.6%, and trades at a 68.6% discount to fair value.

Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
65.7
Risk Grade
Layers
8

Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-5.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-8.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.44
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Worst Day

Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
60
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID

Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal

Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.7x
Short Interest

Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone

Piotroski F-Score

Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency

Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
Ticker Correlation
IWM 0.381
ARKG 0.375
CLDX 0.364
DNLI 0.346
IDYA 0.345
Inverse Correlated
Ticker Correlation
LIANY -0.249
TIJARA.KW -0.232
NBRVF -0.178
LEJUY -0.166
7912.T -0.154

Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
May
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.7830627447586507

Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+3.3%
Beat Drift Positive %
33.3%
Consistency

Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker’s recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+44.6%
3M Return
+11.0%
6M Return
+26.1%
12M Return
+24.1%
Momentum Rank
#566
Momentum Signal
STRONG_UP

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