The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
Ames National Corporation
ATLO · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $248M · 259 employees
Ames National Corporation operates as a multi-bank holding company that provides banking products and services primarily in Boone, Clarke, Hancock, Marshall, Polk, Story, Taylor, and Union Counties in central, north-cent…
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-05-13
Screened 2026-05-13 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
Ames National Corporation holds its Accumulation at $29.81. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 423 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 423 days |
| Price at the screen | $29.81 |
| Valuation | 11.56 trailing · 9.92 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 10.0 |
| Beta | 0.29 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Business activity
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Financial sector: banks | Fail |
| Debt load | 0.00% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 0.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 0.00% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 4% discount to our $31.00 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 28.00% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-05-13 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 4.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-05-13 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsWhy it gives us pause
At 9.9x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business. Our fair value sits at $31.00, below where it trades today. The moderate moat is real, but quality alone does not make an expensive price cheap.
| Forward P/E | 9.9xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 11.6xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 2.42 |
| EPS, forward | 2.82 |
| Revenue growth | +28.0%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | 31.2%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 11.0%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| Dividend yield | 344.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.00minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Beta | 0.29barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.02% |
| 52-week range | 16.94 - 29.71 |
| Moat | MODERATE |
| Market cap | $248M |
| Employees | 259 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
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Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (1 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | HAGAN PATRICK G | Director | 200 | $5,538 | |
| 2026-05-12 | HAGAN PATRICK G | Director | 100 | $2,765 | |
| 2026-04-30 | CASSABAUM MICHELLE R | Director | 84 | $2,359 | |
| 2026-02-27 | CASSABAUM MICHELLE R | Director | 205 | $5,586 | |
| 2026-01-30 | CASSABAUM MICHELLE R | Director | 280 | $7,311 | |
| 2025-12-10 | TROST SCOT A | Director | 200 | $4,576 | |
| 2025-12-02 | BAUER SCOTT T | Officer of Subsidiary Company | 20 | $434 | |
| 2025-11-26 | BAUER SCOTT T | Officer of Subsidiary Company | 187 | $4,016 | |
| 2025-11-21 | SWARTZ KEVIN L | Director | 200 | $4,160 | |
| 2025-11-17 | PUTZIER JEFFREY K | Officer of Subsidiary Company | 200 | $4,250 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $27.80 | +8.7% | $0.24 | $1,095 | +9.5% |
| 2 months | $29.06 | +4.0% | $0.24 | $1,048 | +4.8% |
| 3 months | $26.42 | +14.4% | $0.24 | $1,153 | +15.3% |
| 6 months | $23.33 | +29.5% | $0.48 | $1,316 | +31.6% |
| 1 year | $17.11 | +76.6% | $0.88 | $1,817 | +81.7% |
| 2 years | $18.51 | +63.2% | $1.75 | $1,727 | +72.7% |
| 3 years | $16.55 | +82.6% | $2.83 | $1,997 | +99.7% |
| 5 years | $19.91 | +51.7% | $4.96 | $1,766 | +76.6% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ATLO does next, these words stay.
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