Earnings Preview · 20 October 2026
Where our screen stands going in
The two standards split: it clears the faith-based (AAOIFI) screen but not our broader anchor screen. We default to protection and do not call it compliant on a divergence.
What the Street expects
Consensus looks for earnings of about $2.39 a share on revenue near $6.6B. Over the next twelve months analysts pencil in $9.82 of earnings per share against $5.69 over the last twelve, growth of about 73%. The median analyst target is $190 (range $120 to $218), 15% above the $164.95 share price, across 18 analysts.
How it has traded on past prints
Across the last 25 reports, the shares moved an average of +0.5% in the five sessions after the print and +3.1% over twenty.
Levels that matter
At $164.95 the shares sit 11% below the 52-week high of $184.90 and 18% above the low of $139.34 (56% of the way up the range). The 50-day average is $170.29, above the price. The 200-day average is $161.25, below the price.
Valuation going in
The shares trade about 15% below our fair-value estimate: a modest cushion. Our fair-value estimate is $193.20 against the current share price of $164.95. The shares trade at 29.1 times trailing earnings and 16.8 times forward earnings. Revenue is growing about 2% with net margins near 12%.
Our stance
We are not participants, the name fails our principled screen, so we watch it as a sentiment gauge, not a holding.
What the flow says going in
Underlying money flow is neutral (21-day Chaikin Money Flow +0.04, five-day price change +3.0%, as of 2026-10-16, desk flow model): no strong accumulation or distribution signature.
This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
