The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $14.
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc
VNDA · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $327M · 533 employees
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies to address high unmet medical needs worldwide.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2025-12-31
Screened 2025-12-31 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc holds its Markdown at $5.44. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 19 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 19 days |
| Price at the screen | $5.44 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 27.20 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.60 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 2.58% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 2.6% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 36.61% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 36.6% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 28.52% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 28.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2025-12-31 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 47.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +157% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2025-12-31 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | 27.2xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| EPS, trailing | -4.06 |
| EPS, forward | 0.20 |
| Revenue growth | +3.4%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | -110.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -60.5%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -25.42% |
| Debt to equity | 4.66heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 2.16comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.60steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.13% |
| 52-week range | 4.14 - 9.94 |
| Moat | NONE |
| Market cap | $327M |
| Employees | 533 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeVNDA trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (4 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $14.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $6.27 | -3.8% | · | $962 | -3.8% |
| 2 months | $7.22 | -16.5% | · | $835 | -16.5% |
| 3 months | $9.29 | -35.1% | · | $649 | -35.1% |
| 6 months | $6.60 | -8.6% | · | $914 | -8.6% |
| 1 year | $4.66 | +29.4% | · | $1,294 | +29.4% |
| 2 years | $5.98 | +0.8% | · | $1,008 | +0.8% |
| 3 years | $6.50 | -7.2% | · | $928 | -7.2% |
| 5 years | $19.18 | -68.6% | · | $314 | -68.6% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever VNDA does next, these words stay.
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
Membership opens the full screen archive, the composites built from it, and the daily coverage that prices what the screen approves.
Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.