The Screen · Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Resideo Technologies, Inc.
REZI · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $2.9B · 14,800 employees
Resideo Technologies, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
19.11 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Resideo Technologies, Inc. holds its Distribution at $19.11. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 10 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 10 days
Price at the screen
$19.11
Valuation
7.46 trailing · 9.30 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.57
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
38.23%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 38.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
20.56%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 20.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +70% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Homes need reliable alarms yet profits stay missing
Resideo makes the thermostats, smoke detectors and security kits that keep houses comfortable and safe across the US and Europe. The shares trade at just 11.8 times forward earnings while analysts push a 48 dollar target, yet the business posted a 7 percent loss margin and negative 16 percent return on equity last year. With revenue growing only 8 percent and no clear moat, the low multiple looks more like a warning than a bargain.
The company splits between its own branded products and a big distribution arm that moves gear for rivals. That dual setup adds volume but little pricing power, and the numbers show the mix has not yet delivered consistent profits. A 24 percent gap to our fair value estimate does not change the fact that current returns sit well below what a durable industrial business should deliver.
Risk sits in the weak profitability and unknown competitive edge that leave the firm exposed if housing or renovation spending slows. The ethical screen clears but the fundamentals do not yet justify ownership. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
REZI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-11Distribution$19.93-23.6%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 23.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $49.
2026-08-11Distribution$26.08-17.6%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 17.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $49.
2026-07-18Distribution$31.66+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 39%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $49.
2026-07-03Distribution$31.66+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$31.66Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
