Distribution Solutions Group, Inc., a specialty distribution company, provides value-added distribution solutions to the maintenance, repair and operations (MRO), original equipment manufacturer, and industrial technology markets.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
34.85 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-16
Screened 2026-09-16 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 34.85 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 35.00, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price34.85 USD
Fair value35.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-27Read Accumulation34.81+0.1% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markdown27.72+25.7% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $34.85. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 24 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-16
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 24 days
Price at the screen
$34.85
Valuation
183.42 trailing · 19.86 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.54
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
46.84%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 46.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
19.05%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 19.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-16 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 0.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price: fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-16 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Thin Margins Leave This Distributor Looking Stale
Picture a warehouse stacking parts for factories and repair crews, yet every pallet moves with almost no profit attached. Distribution Solutions Group sits in that spot, posting 4% revenue growth, zero profit margins and a 1% return on equity. The shares trade a touch above our fair value with an opportunity rating of none, so the setup offers no real edge despite clearing the ethical screen.
The market already sees the same picture. Two analysts rate the stock a hold with a median target only slightly higher than the current price, and the forward multiple of 21 times earnings sits on earnings that have yet to materialise. Without a visible moat or accelerating demand, the business stays stuck in low-single-digit expansion.
Industrial distribution can turn quickly when customers cut maintenance budgets, and these returns leave little cushion if volumes slip. The absence of meaningful profitability keeps any recovery story thin. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
DSGR trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 0.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (2 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34.
2026-07-26Markdown$34.50+24.5%Entry 4
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 24.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (2 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34.
2026-07-18Markdown$27.72+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (2 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $34.
2026-07-03Markdown$27.72+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$27.72Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
