The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (11 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $161.
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
SITE · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $4.1B · 7,750 employees
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of landscape supplies in the United States and Canada.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 92.82 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 113.94, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. holds its Markdown at $92.82. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 20 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 20 days |
| Price at the screen | $92.82 |
| Valuation | 25.43 trailing · 18.05 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.34 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 30.44% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 30.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 22.90% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 22.9% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 22.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 12 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +35% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsLandscape distributor shows no revenue growth at all
Picture a garden centre that keeps the same stock year after year. SiteOne moves irrigation kit and turf supplies across North America yet revenue sits flat. With an opportunity rating of none we simply pass.
Forward earnings sit at 19 times while sales growth registers zero, profit margins run at just 3 percent and return on equity reaches only 10 percent. The market already prices the shares below our fair value yet nothing in the numbers suggests the multiple will expand. Analyst targets sit higher but the underlying business offers no growth engine to support them.
The shares could still move with housing cycles or weather patterns, and low margins leave little room for cost shocks. Ethical checks clear but the economics do not. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 18.0xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 25.4xa premium valuation |
| EPS, trailing | 3.65 |
| EPS, forward | 5.14 |
| Revenue growth | +4.7%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 3.4%barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 10.1%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 4.66% |
| Debt to equity | 0.67moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 2.31comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.34moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.08% |
| 52-week range | 90.07 - 168.56 |
| Market cap | $4.1B |
| Employees | 7,750 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeSITE trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 7.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (11 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $161.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 19%. The street (11 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $161.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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- Can Fastenal's 44.6% FMI Sales Mix Unlock More Operating Leverage? Zacks · 21 Aug 2026
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $121.55 | -14.2% | · | $858 | -14.2% |
| 2 months | $135.48 | -23.0% | · | $770 | -23.0% |
| 3 months | $130.36 | -20.0% | · | $800 | -20.0% |
| 6 months | $131.22 | -20.5% | · | $795 | -20.5% |
| 1 year | $125.86 | -17.2% | · | $829 | -17.2% |
| 2 years | $129.08 | -19.2% | · | $808 | -19.2% |
| 3 years | $148.20 | -29.6% | · | $704 | -29.6% |
| 5 years | $161.66 | -35.5% | · | $645 | -35.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SITE does next, these words stay.
Thirteen thousand names carry this page. One desk keeps them honest.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.