PHM
PulteGroup
Consumer Discretionary · Homebuilding · US
$109.60
Close 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$20.9B
Trailing P/E
10.60
Forward P/E
9.80
Rev Growth
-12.4%
Profit Margin
12.1%
ROE
16.2%
Analyst Target
$137.50
Recommendation
BUY
About PulteGroup

PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. The company is involved in the acquisition and development of land primarily for residential purposes, as well as construction of housing; and sale of single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes under the Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods brands. It also engages in the mortgage banking, title, and insurance agency operations. PulteGroup, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $110 against a fair value of $139, a 21% discount. Moderate competitive position. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 98% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.13%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.12%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 91.1
Score Valuation: 90.5
Score Quality: 58.2
Score Combined: 65.9
Fair Value Est: $138.74 · Margin of Safety: +21.0% · Tier: OPPORTUNITY

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality52.2
Cash Flow82.5
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity61.4
Liquid Purity97.2
Rev Purity94.9
Compliance81.8
Tier: GOLD · Score: 76.0 · Rank: #145
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-222.35Pending--
2026-04-231.811.79-1.0%
2026-01-292.812.88+2.6%
2025-10-212.892.96+2.5%
2025-07-222.933.03+3.4%
2025-04-222.442.57+5.2%
2025-01-303.274.43+35.5%
2024-10-223.183.35+5.5%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$3.4B$347.0M$474.1M$822.1M$440.4M1.81
2025-12-31$4.6B$501.6M$692.4M$1.1B$739.9M2.58
2025-09-30$4.4B$585.8M$793.8M$1.2B$761.3M2.98
2025-06-30$4.4B$608.5M$832.3M$1.2B$805.5M3.05
2025-03-31$3.9B$522.8M$705.9M$1.1B$671.9M2.59
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-08SNYDER LILADirector3,339$391.3K
2026-04-29GRISE CHERYL WDirector1,507--
2026-04-29BLAIR BRYCEDirector1,507--
2026-04-29HAWAUX ANDRE JDirector1,507--
2026-04-29ACTIS-GRANDE KRISTENDirector1,507--
2026-04-29SCHALL BENJAMINDirector1,507--
2026-04-29GANNON KRISTIN FDirector1,507--
2026-04-29SNYDER LILADirector1,507--
2026-02-24HENRY KEVIN AOfficer5,173$729.6K
2026-02-10GANNON KRISTIN FDirector292--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.19.3M$2.2B0.1%
Franklin Resources, Inc.15.0M$1.7B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC12.5M$1.5B0.1%
State Street Corporation8.9M$1.0B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC8.2M$952.2M0.0%
Greenhaven Associates, Inc.5.5M$640.0M0.0%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc5.5M$638.7M0.0%
FMR, LLC5.4M$626.1M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC5.3M$613.4M0.0%
First Trust Advisors LP4.3M$502.3M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
6
6
16 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
7
7
17 analysts
Last Month
3
5
8
16 analysts
Current
3
6
6
16 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$22.8B
Price/Book
1.71
Beta
1.242
Analysts
14
Total Revenue (TTM)
$16.8B
Total Debt
$2.5B
Earnings Growth
-30.4%
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Rec. Mean
2.19
Short Ratio
3.76
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
6,506

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 65.9 (P99 — top 1.0% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical PASS. 14 analysts at Buy.
Price: $109.60 | Target: $137.50 (+25%) | Fair Value: $138.74 (+27%)
Score
66
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+25%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-12.4%
Profit Margin12.1%
ROE16.2%
Forward P/E9.8
Market Cap$20.9B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-22$2.35Pending
2026-04-23$1.81$1.79-1.0%
2026-01-29$2.81$2.88+2.6%
2025-10-21$2.89$2.96+2.5%
2025-07-22$2.93$3.03+3.4%
2025-04-22$2.44$2.57+5.2%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $93.16 (-15%) | Entry: $109.60
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($137.50, 14 analysts)
10$1,096.00+$279.00 (25%)1.7R
50$5,480.00+$1,395.00 (25%)1.7R
100$10,960.00+$2,790.00 (25%)1.7R
To Fair Value ($138.74)
10$1,096.00+$291.40 (27%)1.8R
50$5,480.00+$1,457.00 (27%)1.8R
100$10,960.00+$2,914.00 (27%)1.8R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.76 days to cover)
The Verdict
PulteGroup passes all ethical screens and holds a moderate competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
46.5
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.4%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.14
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-38.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.8x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
87.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
DHI0.909
KBH0.896
LEN0.894
MTH0.893
TMHC0.888
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SUKOON.AE-0.160
BNO-0.151
LPTVQ-0.147
USO-0.145
BAES.L-0.131
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Jul
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
0.09520439469444605
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-1.4%
Beat Drift Positive %
42.9%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-7.6%
3M Return
-16.2%
6M Return
+3.5%
12M Return
+20.5%
Momentum Rank
#3375
Momentum Signal
DOWN

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access