The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
PENN · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.0B · 23,441 employees
PENN Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated entertainment, sports content, and casino gaming experiences in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 27 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-10-27 · the tape above runs as of 10:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price14.83 USD at the 27 Oct 2026 close
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.36)
- Last reviewed27 Oct 2026 (2 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 14.83 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 20.08, over the last year.
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.36, read 2026-10-27
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
PENN Entertainment, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $14.83. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 75 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 75 days |
| Price at the screen | $14.83 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 11.39 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 1.39 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: casino
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: casino | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
PENN Entertainment, does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in gambling, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Today PENN does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 19 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +69% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsCasinos fail our ethical screen every time
Walk into any casino floor and the flashing lights mask a sector our rules simply exclude on principle. PENN sits at our exact fair value with a forward multiple of 14 times, yet revenue growth of 6 percent cannot hide negative margins of 14 percent and an ROE of minus 40 percent. We pass outright because the business fails the ethical screen on casino operations.
That leaves a cyclical industry exposed to consumer spending swings and no valuation cushion if earnings disappoint further. The consensus buy rating from nineteen analysts changes nothing here. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 11.4xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| EPS, trailing | -6.43 |
| EPS, forward | 1.30 |
| Revenue growth | +5.2%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | -12.7%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -37.6%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -2.73% |
| Debt to equity | 5.97heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 0.89below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 1.39moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.17% |
| 52-week range | 11.65 - 22.36 |
| Market cap | $2.0B |
| Employees | 23,441 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradePENN trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 8% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 6.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20.
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 9.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20.
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 14.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 7.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 27%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (18 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $20.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Dave McCormick | Republican | buy | 250K–500K |
| 2026-08-06 | Dave McCormick | Republican | buy | 250K–500K |
| 2026-07-31 | Dave McCormick | Republican | sell | 100K–250K |
| 2026-07-31 | Dave McCormick | Republican | sell | 50K–100K |
| 2026-07-31 | Dave McCormick | Republican | sell | 15K–50K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $15.94 | +34.1% | · | $1,341 | +34.1% |
| 2 months | $15.25 | +40.2% | · | $1,402 | +40.2% |
| 3 months | $14.53 | +47.1% | · | $1,471 | +47.1% |
| 6 months | $14.01 | +52.6% | · | $1,526 | +52.6% |
| 1 year | $16.81 | +27.2% | · | $1,272 | +27.2% |
| 2 years | $17.25 | +23.9% | · | $1,239 | +23.9% |
| 3 years | $26.20 | -18.4% | · | $816 | -18.4% |
| 5 years | $83.84 | -74.5% | · | $255 | -74.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever PENN does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.