NAS10026,990+1.35%S&P7,377+0.31%GOLD$4,080−0.83%BTC$75,813−0.17%VIX25.64−9.01%latest tape · as of 00:43 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
VAC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.8B · 21,100 employees
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation, a vacation company, engages in vacation ownership, exchange, rental, and resort and property management, along with related businesses, products and services in the United States…
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
110.42 USD
Price as of 7 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-07 · the tape above runs as of 00:43 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price110.42 USD at the 7 Nov 2026 close
Our value readUndervalued vs our fair value, as of 7 Nov 2026
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.10, read 2026-11-03
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price110.42 USD
Fair value147.00
Ethical score30.0/100
Value readUndervaluedas of 7 Nov 2026
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-11Read Accumulation100.85+9.5% to today ✓Markup gives way to Accumulation
2026-10-02Read Markup100.85+9.5% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markup after a 5% slide in 2 weeks
2026-09-16Read Distribution106.62+3.6% to today Markup gives way to Distribution after a 14% rise in 11 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markup93.38+18.2% to today ✓First review on file: Markup
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation holds its Accumulation at $110.42. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 35 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-11-07
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 35 days
Price at the screen
$110.42
Valuation
N/A trailing · 11.48 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 30.0
Beta
1.32
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: casino
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Excluded
Core business clean
Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: casino
Fail
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
Excluded
Below 5%
of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Marriott Vacations Worldwide does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in gambling, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
Follow this verdict
Get an email when VAC's ethical verdict changes
Today VAC does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Undervalued vs our fair value, as of 7 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 25% discount to our $147.00 fair value, 13.40% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-07 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 24.9% discount to the base estimate.
Where our models see it going: fair-value estimate $147.00, with a range of $125.43 to $209.05, dated to the 2026-11-07 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Vacation ownership tied to casinos fails our screen
Picture a family booking a resort week only to discover the underlying business carries heavy casino exposure through its sector ties. We pass outright on ethical grounds, with no interest in owning any part of that structure regardless of the share price.
The numbers reinforce the call. Revenue sits flat, margins have turned negative at minus 10 percent, and return on equity has sunk to minus 15 percent. Forward earnings trade at 11.7 times yet our fair value sits 14 percent below the current quote, leaving no margin of safety and a clear cyclical value trap warning.
Analyst targets cluster near the present level while the company shows zero growth and an unknown competitive position. The low multiple simply reflects peak-cycle earnings that are unlikely to hold once travel spending normalises. Analysis, not advice.
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
VAC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-11-04Accumulation$118.59+2.7%Entry 17
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-03Accumulation$115.49+0.0%Entry 16
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-02Accumulation$115.49+0.0%Entry 15
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-11-01Accumulation$115.49+4.0%Entry 14
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 4.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-31Accumulation$111.09+0.0%Entry 13
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-30Accumulation$111.09+0.0%Entry 12
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-29Accumulation$111.09+0.0%Entry 11
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28Accumulation$111.09+4.6%Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25Accumulation$106.23+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 40% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84.
2026-10-18Accumulation$106.23+5.3%Entry 8
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 5.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 36%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $84.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
