Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
121.52 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-07
Screened 2026-09-07 · the tape above runs as of 13:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $121.52. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 5 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-07
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 5 days
Price at the screen
$121.52
Valuation
19.51 trailing · 17.62 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 30.0
Beta
1.34
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: casino
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Excluded
Core business clean
Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: casino
Fail
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
Excluded
Below 5%
of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-07 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 4.1% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 6 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +4% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-07 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Casinos tempt with steady returns but ethics block the door
Step into a Reno casino on a busy weekend and the chips clatter while the slots ring. Monarch runs two solid properties and posts a 20% profit margin with 9% revenue growth. Yet the ethical screen flags the whole sector as off-limits, so the numbers never get a proper look in.
The shares trade at 17.5 times forward earnings with almost no margin of safety to our fair value. Analyst targets sit below the current price and the opportunity rating is none. Strong returns on equity do not change the fact that we simply do not engage once the screen has spoken.
Cyclical demand can swing hard when travel slows or regulation tightens. Currency and local competition add further uncertainty on top of the ethical bar. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
MCRI trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-05Markdown · changed$124.81-0.4%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $114.
2026-08-05Markup · changed$125.30-2.9%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $114.
2026-07-18Accumulation$129.02+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 21% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (6 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $114.
2026-07-03Accumulation$129.02+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$129.02Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
