MRP
Millrose Properties, Inc.
Real Estate · REIT - Residential · NYQ
$28.06
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$4.7B
Trailing P/E
9.92
Forward P/E
8.69
Rev Growth
+135.7%
Profit Margin
65.0%
ROE
7.9%
Analyst Target
$40.00
Recommendation
NONE
About Millrose Properties, Inc.

Millrose Properties, Inc. is the premier homesite option platform for residential homebuilders. The company specializes in the acquisition and horizontal development of land to provide a predictable, just-in-time supply of finished homesites – the scarcest and mission-critical resource in the homebuilding industry. Unlike traditional land bankers, Millrose utilizes a proprietary technology platform that provides real-time feedback and data analytics to drive acquisition decisions. Every transaction in the Millrose portfolio undergoes rigorous independent due diligence to ensure attractive yields and long-term viability. By enabling an asset-light model, Millrose provides its diverse roster of homebuilder partners with the strategic flexibility to maintain production volumes and optimize balance sheet efficiency across all market environments. Millrose Properties, Inc.is based in Miami, United States.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 78.5
Score Quality: 68.0
Score Combined: 60.1

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality71.5
Cash Flow0.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 48.2 · Rank: #2297
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$7.1B
Price/Book
0.80
Analysts
5
Total Revenue (TTM)
$712.7M
Total Debt
$2.4B
Earnings Growth
+89.7%
Dividend Yield
1083.0%
Short Ratio
3.23
Short % Float
0.0%

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 60.1 (P95 — top 4.8% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 5 analysts at None.
Price: $28.06 | Target: $38.60 (+38%)
Score
60
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+38%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+135.7%
Profit Margin65.0%
ROE7.9%
Forward P/E8.7
Market Cap$4.7B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $23.85 (-15%) | Entry: $28.06
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($38.60, 5 analysts)
10$280.60+$105.40 (38%)2.5R
50$1,403.00+$527.00 (38%)2.5R
100$2,806.00+$1,054.00 (38%)2.5R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.23 days to cover)
The Verdict
Millrose Properties, Inc. passes all ethical screens, holds a unknown competitive moat, and is growing revenue at +135.7%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
48.9
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.6%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.10
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-20.6%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
65
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
PK0.413
RVT0.407
GDV0.403
XLI0.398
IWM0.397
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SALAM_BAH.AE-0.183
ALFIRDOUS.AE-0.182
LPTVQ-0.180
QCFS.QA-0.176
BAES.L-0.175
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Aug
Worst Month
Nov
Fri-Mon Effect
0.8038055138565044
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-8.4%
3M Return
-7.1%
6M Return
-4.6%
12M Return
+11.5%
Momentum Rank
#3385
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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