MNRO
Monro, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts · NMS
$16.32
Close 2026-05-15
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$489.9M
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
24.21
Rev Growth
-4.1%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
ROE
-2.0%
Analyst Target
$25.62
Recommendation
BUY
About Monro, Inc.

Monro, Inc. engages in the operation of retail tire and automotive repair stores in the United States. It offers replacement tires and tire related services; automotive undercar repair services; and routine maintenance services primarily to passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. The company also provides other products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment. It operates its stores under the Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towery's Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, and Tire Barn Warehouse brand names. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Fairport, New York.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $16, 61% above fair value of $10. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 1% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.99%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 44.5
Score Quality: 20.0
Score Combined: 28.6
Fair Value Est: $10.11 · Margin of Safety: -38.1% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation73.2
Quality1.1
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet73.8
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity97.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance57.9
Tier: WATCH · Score: 35.3 · Rank: #4762
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-05-27-0.05Pending--
2026-01-280.140.16+17.6%
2025-10-290.200.18-7.7%
2025-07-300.150.22+48.6%
2025-05-280.03-0.09-421.4%
2025-01-290.300.19-35.6%
2024-10-300.260.17-34.6%
2024-07-310.22--
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2025-12-31$293.4M$11.1M$33.9M$102.4M$18.6M0.37
2025-09-30$288.9M$5.7M$28.0M$103.1M$12.8M0.19
2025-06-30$301.0M-$8.1M$9.5M$106.9M-$6.1M-0.27
2025-03-31$295.0M-$21.3M-$6.8M$97.3M-$23.8M-0.71
2024-12-31$305.8M$4.6M$27.1M$104.8M$10.0M0.15
2024-09-30
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-02-05FITZSIMMONS PETER D.Chief Executive Officer12,750$250.9K
2026-02-03FITZSIMMONS PETER D.Chief Executive Officer13,350$251.0K
2025-12-02FITZSIMMONS PETER D.Chief Executive Officer85,933--
2025-11-07ICAHN ENTERPRISES, L.P.Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security638,659$11.1M
2025-11-07ICAHN CAPITAL L PBeneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security638,659$11.1M
2025-11-07ICAHN CARL CBeneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security638,659$11.1M
2025-11-04ICAHN ENTERPRISES, L.P.Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security639,473$9.7M
2025-11-04ICAHN CAPITAL L PBeneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security639,473$9.7M
2025-08-12SOLOMON PETER JDirector8,306--
2025-08-12MELLOR ROBERT EDirector8,306--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Icahn Carl C5.1M$85.1M0.2%
Blackrock Inc.4.8M$79.6M0.2%
Gamco Investors, Inc ET AL2.5M$42.2M0.1%
Adage Capital Partners GP L.L.C.1.5M$25.9M0.1%
Morgan Stanley1.5M$24.8M0.0%
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP1.4M$24.0M0.0%
State Street Corporation1.4M$23.0M0.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC1.3M$21.1M0.0%
Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation990.9K$16.6M0.0%
Nuveen, LLC984.6K$16.5M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
2
3
5 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
3
5 analysts
Last Month
2
3
5 analysts
Current
2
3
5 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$983.7M
Price/Book
0.83
Beta
1.067
Analysts
4
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.2B
Total Debt
$485.8M
Earnings Growth
+161.3%
Dividend Yield
686.0%
Rec. Mean
2.20
Short Ratio
9.25
Short % Float
0.3%
Employees
7,360

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 28.6 (P11 — top 89.2% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 4 analysts at Buy.
Price: $16.32 | Target: $25.62 (+57%) | Fair Value: $10.11 (+-38%)
Score
29
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+57%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-4.1%
Profit Margin-1.1%
ROE-2.0%
Forward P/E24.2
Market Cap$489.9M
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-05-27$-0.05Pending
2026-01-28$0.14$0.16+17.6%
2025-10-29$0.20$0.18-7.7%
2025-07-30$0.15$0.22+48.6%
2025-05-28$0.03$-0.09-421.4%
2025-01-29$0.30$0.19-35.6%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $13.87 (-15%) | Entry: $16.32
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($25.62, 4 analysts)
10$163.20+$93.00 (57%)3.8R
50$816.00+$465.00 (57%)3.8R
100$1,632.00+$930.00 (57%)3.8R
To Fair Value ($10.11)
10$163.20+$-62.10 (-38%)-2.5R
50$816.00+$-310.50 (-38%)-2.5R
100$1,632.00+$-621.00 (-38%)-2.5R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (9.25 days to cover)
The Verdict
Monro, Inc. holds a weak competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
41.3
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-5.0%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-7.6%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.33
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-58.9%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
65
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.9x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
25.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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BC0.474
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CWH0.455
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
CBOE-0.214
CME-0.189
4326.SR-0.169
INOVEST.BH-0.167
ATTOF-0.165
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Nov
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.3971236458390227
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+21.4%
Beat Drift Positive %
100.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-3.3%
3M Return
-26.4%
6M Return
-3.4%
12M Return
+37.6%
Momentum Rank
#3461
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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