MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
Financial Services · Asset Management · NYQ
$51.12
Close 2026-05-28
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$4.8B
Trailing P/E
10.78
Forward P/E
12.92
Rev Growth
+2.2%
Profit Margin
74.9%
ROE
14.4%
Analyst Target
$58.00
Recommendation
HOLD
About Main Street Capital Corporation

Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company and a small business investment company specializing in direct and indirect investments. In direct investments, the firm specializes in private equity capital to lower middle market companies. The firm specializes in recapitalizations, loan, growth capital, mezzanine debt, corporate carveouts, family estate planning, management buyouts, refinancing, private loan, private credit solutions, senior secured term debt, unintranche term debt, subordinated debt, preferred equity, common equity, minimal or no fixed amortization, split lien term debt, industry consolidation, mature, later stage and emerging growth. The firm makes both control and non-control equity investments. The firm also provides debt capital to middle market companies for strategic acquisitions, management buyouts, growth financings, majority and minority recapitalizations, and refinancing. The firm also makes equity co-investments. The firm provides debt financing solutions for acquisitions, recapitalizations, and refinancing to middle market companies. The firm provides private debt and private equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to middle market companies. The firm seeks to partner with entrepreneurs, business owners and management teams and generally provides "one stop" financing alternatives within its lower middle market portfolio. It prefers to invest in air freight and logistics, auto components, building products, chemicals, commercial services, computers, construction and engineering, consumer finance, consumer services, electronic equipment, energy equipment and services, financial services, health care equipment, health care providers, hotels, restaurants, and leisure, internet software and services, IT Services, machinery, oil, gas and consumable fuels, paper and forest products, professional and industrial services, manufacturing, road and rail, software, specialty retail, telecommunication, cons

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityFAIL
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue RatioN/A
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 50.0
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 67.2
Score Combined: 55.2

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality70.8
Cash Flow62.8
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 51.3 · Rank: #1573
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$7.3B
Price/Book
1.53
Beta
0.769
Analysts
7
Total Revenue (TTM)
$569.5M
Total Debt
$2.5B
Earnings Growth
-58.7%
Dividend Yield
857.0%
Rec. Mean
2.75
Short Ratio
12.55
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
110

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 55.2 (P86 — top 14.3% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 7 analysts at Hold.
Price: $51.12 | Target: $57.43 (+12%)
Score
55
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+12%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+2.2%
Profit Margin74.9%
ROE14.4%
Forward P/E12.9
Market Cap$4.8B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $43.45 (-15%) | Entry: $51.12
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($57.43, 7 analysts)
10$511.20+$63.10 (12%)0.8R
50$2,556.00+$315.50 (12%)0.8R
100$5,112.00+$631.00 (12%)0.8R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (12.55 days to cover)
The Verdict
Main Street Capital Corporation holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
37.5
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Quality: HMM_CRISIS
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.4%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.61
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.3x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Tuesday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Feb
Fri-Mon Effect
0.11711994674428963
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-5.7%
3M Return
-10.0%
6M Return
-5.6%
12M Return
-3.0%
Momentum Rank
#3502
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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