BN.PA
Danone SA
Consumer Staples · Packaged Foods & Meats · Euronext Paris
$62.80
Close 2026-05-09
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$40.2B
Trailing P/E
22.27
Forward P/E
14.94
Rev Growth
-0.5%
Profit Margin
6.7%
ROE
10.8%
Analyst Target
$79.68
Recommendation
BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.32%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.04%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.07%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.01%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 80.8
Score Valuation: 65.5
Score Quality: 36.0
Score Combined: 52.0
Fair Value Est: $30.17 · Margin of Safety: -108.2% · Tier: FAIR VALUE

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation97.3
Quality24.1
Cash Flow77.5
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity3.1
Liquid Purity86.7
Rev Purity70.4
Compliance47.5
Tier: WATCH · Score: 32.8 · Rank: #4922
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-29Pending--
2019-10-181.990.78-60.8%
2009-07-241.320.45-65.9%
2005-10-191,695.501.25-99.9%
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Generali Investments Cee, Investicni Spolecnost, A.s.128.0K$7.9M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
4
7
9
22 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
6
9
2
22 analysts
Last Month
3
6
10
2
22 analysts
Current
4
8
8
22 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$48.2B
Price/Book
2.34
Beta
0.212
Analysts
22
Total Revenue (TTM)
$27.3B
Total Debt
$15.1B
Earnings Growth
-2.5%
Dividend Yield
3.6%
Rec. Mean
2.23

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 52.0 (P78 — top 22.5% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 22 analysts at Buy.
Price: $62.80 | Target: $79.68 (+27%) | Fair Value: $30.17 (+-52%)
Score
52
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+27%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-0.5%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE10.8%
Forward P/E14.9
Market Cap$40.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-29$—Pending
2019-10-18$1.99$0.78-60.8%
2009-07-24$1.32$0.45-65.9%
2005-10-19$1,695.50$1.25-99.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $53.38 (-15%) | Entry: $62.80
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($79.68, 22 analysts)
10$628.00+$168.80 (27%)1.8R
50$3,140.00+$844.00 (27%)1.8R
100$6,280.00+$1,688.00 (27%)1.8R
To Fair Value ($30.17)
10$628.00+$-326.30 (-52%)-3.5R
50$3,140.00+$-1,631.50 (-52%)-3.5R
100$6,280.00+$-3,263.00 (-52%)-3.5R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Danone SA passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
45.4
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-1.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-2.6%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.35
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
67
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
2.4x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
0.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
KOS-0.247
NVMI-0.246
CAMT-0.245
VET-0.233
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Jun
Fri-Mon Effect
0.2100770605428317
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
Beat Drift Positive %
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-6.1%
3M Return
-12.0%
6M Return
-19.2%
12M Return
-15.7%
Momentum Rank
#3838
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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