BAYN.DE
Bayer AG
Health Care · Pharmaceuticals · XETRA
$36.98
Close 2026-05-09
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$36.3B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
7.80
Rev Growth
-2.5%
Profit Margin
-4.8%
ROE
-12.4%
Analyst Target
$48.68
Recommendation
BUY
About Bayer AG

Bayer Aktiengesellschaft operates as a life science company in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Germany, Switzerland, North America, the United States, the Asia Pacific, China, Latin America, and Brazil. It operates through Pharmaceuticals, Consumer Health, and Crop Science segments.

Opportunity Summary
Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio 34.9%). Ranks better than 67% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.35%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.06%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.09%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.04%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 78.5
Score Quality: 20.0
Score Combined: 37.1
· Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality3.1
Cash Flow100.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity80.7
Rev Purity18.6
Compliance29.2
Tier: WATCH · Score: 39.7 · Rank: #4291
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-040.80Pending--
2026-05-112.252.71+20.6%
2026-03-030.38-3.82-1111.0%
2025-11-110.320.57+75.5%
2025-08-060.791.23+56.3%
2025-05-132.282.49+9.1%
2025-03-041.091.05-3.3%
2024-11-120.320.24-24.4%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$13.4B$2.8B$4.7B$8.2B$3.5B2.81
2025-12-31$11.4B-$3.8B-$2.6B$6.9B$4.3B
2025-09-30$9.7B-$963.0M$606.0M$5.4B-$543.0M-0.98
2025-06-30$10.7B-$199.0M$236.0M$6.4B$13.0M-0.20
2025-03-31$13.7B$1.3B$3.5B$8.1B$2.3B1.32
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Generali Investments Cee, Investicni Spolecnost, A.s.16.7K$641.7K
Pacer Advisors, Inc.12.6K$484.2K
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
7
7
5
19 analysts
2 Months Ago
7
6
6
19 analysts
Last Month
6
5
8
20 analysts
Current
7
7
5
19 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$70.2B
Price/Book
1.31
Beta
0.843
Analysts
19
Total Revenue (TTM)
$45.2B
Total Debt
$38.9B
Earnings Growth
+112.9%
Dividend Yield
30.0%
Rec. Mean
1.89

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 37.1 (P36 — top 64.0% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 19 analysts at Buy.
Price: $36.98 | Target: $48.68 (+32%)
Score
37
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+32%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-2.5%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE-12.4%
Forward P/E7.8
Market Cap$36.3B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-04$0.80Pending
2026-05-11$2.25$2.71+20.6%
2026-03-03$0.38$-3.82-1111.0%
2025-11-11$0.32$0.57+75.5%
2025-08-06$0.79$1.23+56.3%
2025-05-13$2.28$2.49+9.1%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $31.43 (-15%) | Entry: $36.98
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($48.68, 19 analysts)
10$369.80+$117.00 (32%)2.1R
50$1,849.00+$585.00 (32%)2.1R
100$3,698.00+$1,170.00 (32%)2.1R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Bayer AG holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
51.2
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.2%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.4%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.54
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-38.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
67
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.9x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
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BAES.L-0.233
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Oct
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.3014175294603209
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+17.6%
Beat Drift Positive %
100.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-1.5%
3M Return
-11.4%
6M Return
+40.4%
12M Return
+52.1%
Momentum Rank
#1531
Momentum Signal
UP

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