BA.L
BAE Systems
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · LSE
$1,933.80
Close 2026-05-09
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$56.8B
Trailing P/E
28.44
Forward P/E
20.54
Rev Growth
+6.7%
Profit Margin
7.3%
ROE
18.1%
Analyst Target
$2,322.50
Recommendation
BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityFAIL
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue RatioN/A
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 44.5
Score Quality: 49.0
Score Combined: 35.9
Fair Value Est: $14.89 · Margin of Safety: -99.2% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation88.3
Quality50.2
Cash Flow39.3
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: WATCH · Score: 33.3 · Rank: #4903
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-30Pending--
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-14Woodburn Charles8$206.0
2026-05-14Woodburn Charles3--
2026-05-14Thompson (Andrea Jayne)8$206.0
2026-05-14Thompson (Andrea Jayne)3--
2026-05-14Veignat (Eric)8$206.0
2026-05-14Veignat (Eric)3--
2026-05-14Hoeing-Cosentino (Karin)8$206.0
2026-05-14Hoeing-Cosentino (Karin)3--
2026-05-14Greve (Bradley)8$206.0
2026-05-14Greve (Bradley)3--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Paradigm Asset Management Company, LLC68.0K$135.6M
Generali Investments Cee, Investicni Spolecnost, A.s.54.6K$108.9M
Pacer Advisors, Inc.44.9K$89.6M
Gamma Investing LLC4.9K$9.8M
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
7
6
2
18 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
7
6
2
18 analysts
Last Month
3
8
6
2
19 analysts
Current
3
7
6
2
18 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$65.5B
Price/Book
5.06
Beta
-0.058
Analysts
18
Total Revenue (TTM)
$28.3B
Total Debt
$9.2B
Earnings Growth
+8.7%
Dividend Yield
188.0%
Rec. Mean
2.28

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 35.9 (P34 — top 66.0% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical FAIL. 18 analysts at Buy.
Price: $1,933.80 | Target: $2,322.50 (+20%) | Fair Value: $14.89 (+-99%)
Score
36
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+20%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+6.7%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE18.1%
Forward P/E20.5
Market Cap$56.8B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-30$—Pending
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $1,643.73 (-15%) | Entry: $1,933.80
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($2,322.50, 18 analysts)
10$19,338.00+$3,887.00 (20%)1.3R
50$96,690.00+$19,435.00 (20%)1.3R
100$193,380.00+$38,870.00 (20%)1.3R
To Fair Value ($14.89)
10$19,338.00+$-19,189.10 (-99%)-6.6R
50$96,690.00+$-95,945.50 (-99%)-6.6R
100$193,380.00+$-191,891.00 (-99%)-6.6R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
BAE Systems holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
49.3
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.0%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.2%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.93
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
82
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
4326.SR-0.221
KUWAITRE.KW-0.174
BAES.L-0.167
LXRX-0.166
4084.SR-0.142
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Nov
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.6615674189216846
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-4.3%
3M Return
-8.1%
6M Return
+13.4%
12M Return
+4.8%
Momentum Rank
#2882
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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