ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
Information Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · NASDAQ
$1,630.79
+38.79 (+2.44%)
Close 2026-05-22
✓ ETHICAL PASS

STRONG MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$587.6B
Trailing P/E
50.11
Forward P/E
31.82
Rev Growth
+13.2%
Profit Margin
29.7%
ROE
52.2%
Analyst Target
$1,660.04
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
About ASML Holding N.V.

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services. Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $1524, 141% above fair value of $632. Strong competitive moat. 30% profit margins. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 55% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio
Cash Ratio
Receivables Ratio
Revenue Ratio
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 50.0
Score Valuation: 30.5
Score Quality: 88.2
Score Combined: 47.3
Fair Value Est: $632.50 · Margin of Safety: -141.0% · Tier: OVERVALUED

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation36.9
Quality97.8
Cash Flow50.0
Moat100.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 44.6 · Rank: #3203
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-156.86Pending--
2026-04-146.627.15+8.0%
2026-01-277.557.34-2.7%
2025-10-155.375.49+2.1%
2025-07-165.255.90+12.4%
2025-04-165.796.00+3.7%
2025-01-296.736.84+1.6%
2024-10-154.865.28+8.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$8.8B$2.8B$3.2B$4.6B$3.2B7.15
2025-12-31$9.7B$2.8B$3.7B$5.1B$3.4B7.35
2025-09-30$7.5B$2.1B$2.7B$3.9B$2.5B5.49
2025-06-30$7.7B$2.7B$3.6B$4.0B$3.1B
2025-03-31$7.7B$2.4B$3.0B$4.2B$2.7B6.00
2024-12-316.85
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Fisher Asset Management, LLC4.6M$7.5B0.0%
Capital World Investors3.7M$6.1B0.0%
FMR, LLC3.1M$5.1B0.0%
State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co2.8M$4.5B0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.1M$3.5B0.0%
Van Eck Associates Corporation1.9M$3.0B0.0%
Morgan Stanley1.8M$2.9B0.0%
Capital International Investors1.8M$2.9B0.0%
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership1.6M$2.7B0.0%
Bank of America Corporation1.6M$2.5B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
6
32
5
44 analysts
2 Months Ago
6
31
6
44 analysts
Last Month
6
31
5
44 analysts
Current
6
32
5
44 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Recent Price History
2026-05-22
$1,630.79
+38.79 (+2.44%)
Vol: 584.3K
2026-05-22
$1,637.70
+45.70 (+2.87%)
Vol: 1.3M
2026-05-21
$1,592.00
+41.87 (+2.70%)
Vol: 1.4M
2026-05-20
$1,550.13
+90.69 (+6.21%)
Vol: 1.7M
5D Range
H: $1,653.53
L: $1,453.34
O: $1,620.95
May 20
May 21
May 22
May 22
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$623.6B
Price/Book
1,446.18
Beta
1.373
Analysts
15
Total Revenue (TTM)
$33.7B
Total Debt
$2.7B
Earnings Growth
+19.2%
Dividend Yield
0.6%
Rec. Mean
1.45
Short Ratio
0.40
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
43,882

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 47.3 (P67 — top 32.9% of scored tickers). Strong Moat. Ethical PASS. 15 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $1,630.79 | Target: $1,664.54 (+2%) | Fair Value: $632.50 (+-61%)
Score
47
Moat
STRONG
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+2%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+13.2%
Profit Margin29.7%
ROE52.2%
Forward P/E31.8
Market Cap$587.6B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-15$6.86Pending
2026-04-14$6.62$7.15+8.0%
2026-01-27$7.55$7.34-2.7%
2025-10-15$5.37$5.49+2.1%
2025-07-16$5.25$5.90+12.4%
2025-04-16$5.79$6.00+3.7%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $1,386.17 (-15%) | Entry: $1,630.79
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($1,664.54, 15 analysts)
10$16,307.90+$337.50 (2%)0.1R
50$81,539.50+$1,687.50 (2%)0.1R
100$163,078.99+$3,375.00 (2%)0.1R
To Fair Value ($632.50)
10$16,307.90+$-9,982.90 (-61%)-4.1R
50$81,539.50+$-49,914.50 (-61%)-4.1R
100$163,078.99+$-99,829.00 (-61%)-4.1R
Risk Factors
  • Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
ASML Holding N.V. passes all ethical screens and holds a strong competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
68.0
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.5%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-6.8%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.76
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-45.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.0x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
87.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ED-0.314
CME-0.254
CBOE-0.251
DUK-0.248
AWK-0.233
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Jul
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.8507441034109574
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+1.1%
Beat Drift Positive %
57.1%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+12.2%
3M Return
+9.2%
6M Return
+66.9%
12M Return
+122.1%
Momentum Rank
#486
Momentum Signal
STRONG_UP

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