ANTA
Antalpha Platform Holding Compa
Financial Services · Credit Services · NGM
$8.60
Close 2026-05-18
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$206.3M
Trailing P/E
11.47
Forward P/E
16.54
Rev Growth
+109.6%
Profit Margin
23.2%
ROE
19.6%
Analyst Target
$10.75
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (5.00%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.04%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Valuation: 61.0
Score Quality: 84.0
Score Combined: 56.8
Fair Value Est: $7.80 · Margin of Safety: -9.3% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality99.2
Cash Flow50.0
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity88.5
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance55.4
Tier: SILVER · Score: 55.6 · Rank: #792
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-110.08Pending--
2026-05-190.070.23+223.4%
2026-03-030.180.03-81.5%
2025-11-100.140.28+110.4%
2025-08-120.050.03-33.3%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$20.7M$2.7M-$4.3M$10.3M-$4.3M0.11
2025-12-31$28.0M$9.3M$25.0M$13.1M$8.2M0.39
2025-09-30$21.1M$7.0M$1.7M$10.6M$1.7M0.30
2025-06-30$17.0M$674.6K-$465.7K$8.3M-$465.7K0.03
2025-03-31$13.6M$1.5M$1.2M$7.0M$1.2M0.06
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Northern Trust Corporation27.5K$220.2K0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC14.3K$114.7K0.0%
Jones Financial Companies, L.L.L.P.144.0$1.2K
Citigroup Inc.53.0$425.0
Analyst Recommendations
Last Month
3
3 analysts
Current
2
2 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$776.1M
Price/Book
1.56
Analysts
2
Total Revenue (TTM)
$86.8M
Total Debt
$501.2M
Earnings Growth
+42.9%
Rec. Mean
1.00

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 56.8 (P89 — top 11.0% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical FAIL. 2 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $8.60 | Target: $10.75 (+25%) | Fair Value: $7.80 (+-9%)
Score
57
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+25%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+109.6%
Profit Margin23.2%
ROE19.6%
Forward P/E16.5
Market Cap$206.3M
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-11$0.08Pending
2026-05-19$0.07$0.23+223.4%
2026-03-03$0.18$0.03-81.5%
2025-11-10$0.14$0.28+110.4%
2025-08-12$0.05$0.03-33.3%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $7.31 (-15%) | Entry: $8.60
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($10.75, 2 analysts)
10$86.00+$21.50 (25%)1.7R
50$430.00+$107.50 (25%)1.7R
100$860.00+$215.00 (25%)1.7R
To Fair Value ($7.80)
10$86.00+$-8.00 (-9%)-0.6R
50$430.00+$-40.00 (-9%)-0.6R
100$860.00+$-80.00 (-9%)-0.6R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Antalpha Platform Holding Compa holds a moderate competitive moat and is growing revenue at +109.6%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
31.6
Risk Grade
Layers
8
Quality: LOW_LIQUIDITY
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-7.1%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-12.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.75
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-60.3%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
37
Liquidity Grade
LOW
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.4x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
REE0.324
ETOR0.314
KDK0.280
GAMB0.263
NFE0.259
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
2871.T-0.209
CPG.L-0.208
1808.T-0.198
BKIKWT.KW-0.196
NISUY-0.196
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Apr
Worst Month
Nov
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.18131157023685562
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-11.8%
Beat Drift Positive %
0.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-17.1%
3M Return
-9.3%
6M Return
-12.9%
12M Return
-36.9%
Momentum Rank
#4065
Momentum Signal
DOWN

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access