ALDX
Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc.
Healthcare · Biotechnology · NCM
$1.68
Close 2026-05-13
✗ ETHICAL FAIL
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$101.0M
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
-7.88
Rev Growth
Profit Margin
0.0%
ROE
-51.8%
Analyst Target
$7.60
Recommendation
BUY
About Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc.

Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers and develops therapies designed to treat immune-mediated diseases. Its lead product candidate is reproxalap, a reactive aldehyde species (RASP) modulator, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of dry eye disease and allergic conjunctivitis; and ADX-2191, a dihydrofolate reductase inhibitor for the treatment of primary vitreoretinal lymphoma and retinitis pigmentosa. The company also develops ADX-629, an orally administered RASP modulator that is in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of COVID-19, atopic asthma, psoriasis, and alcohol intoxication. In addition, it develops preclinical RASP platforms, including ADX 248, ADX 246, and other novel RASP modulators for the treatment of various diseases associated with RASP. The company was formerly known as Aldexa Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. in March 2014. Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Lexington, Massachusetts.

Opportunity Summary
Fails ethical screen (Cash ratio). Ranks better than 40% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.15%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.64%)FAIL
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 33.0
Score Quality: 20.0
Score Combined: 25.8
· Margin of Safety: 0.0% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation50.0
Quality6.2
Cash Flow50.0
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet92.7
Debt Purity53.5
Liquid Purity0.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance51.4
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 48.2 · Rank: #2295
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-06-0.08Pending--
2026-05-07-0.12-0.06+50.0%
2026-02-270.16-0.10-163.2%
2025-11-05-0.16-0.13+17.5%
2025-08-07-0.19-0.16+14.7%
2025-05-14-0.28-0.17+39.3%
2025-02-28-0.22-0.27-24.2%
2024-11-07-0.26-0.25+3.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31-$3.5M-$2.9M-$3.5M-0.06
2025-12-31-$6.5M-$5.9M-$6.7M
2025-09-30-$7.7M-$7.1M-$8.0M-0.13
2025-06-30-$9.8M-$9.2M-$10.2M-0.16
2025-03-31-$9.9M-$9.4M-$10.4M-0.17
2024-09-30-0.25
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-19DOUGLAS RICHARD HDirector70,000$128.1K
2026-03-18ALFIERI MICHAEL LChief Financial Officer5,000$7.1K
2025-08-13ALFIERI MICHAEL LChief Financial Officer2,500$13.2K
2025-08-11MACHATHA STEPHENOfficer22,073$113.7K
2025-04-03PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS L L CBeneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security3,400,000$4.8M
2024-08-12MACHATHA STEPHENOfficer16,041$76.0K
2024-08-12GREENBERG BRUCEChief Financial Officer10,834$51.3K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Knoll Capital Management, LLC5.5M$8.5M0.1%
Blackrock Inc.3.8M$5.8M0.1%
AQR Capital Management, LLC2.8M$4.4M0.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC2.4M$3.7M0.0%
Kingdon Capital Management LLC2.2M$3.3M0.0%
683 Capital Management LLC1.5M$2.3M0.0%
Shaw D.E. & Co., Inc.1.4M$2.2M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC1.3M$1.9M0.0%
State Street Corporation1.1M$1.7M0.0%
Millennium Management Llc995.2K$1.5M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
2 Months Ago
1
3
5 analysts
Last Month
1
4
6 analysts
Current
1
3
5 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$44.0M
Price/Book
2.22
Beta
1.149
Analysts
5
Total Debt
$15.5M
Rec. Mean
1.60
Short Ratio
4.36
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
7

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 25.8 (P7 — top 92.7% of scored tickers). Ethical FAIL. 5 analysts at Buy.
Price: $1.68 | Target: $7.60 (+354%)
Score
26
Moat
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+354%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth0.0%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE-51.8%
Forward P/E-7.9
Market Cap$101.0M
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-06$-0.08Pending
2026-05-07$-0.12$-0.06+50.0%
2026-02-27$0.16$-0.10-163.2%
2025-11-05$-0.16$-0.13+17.5%
2025-08-07$-0.19$-0.16+14.7%
2025-05-14$-0.28$-0.17+39.3%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $1.42 (-15%) | Entry: $1.68
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($7.60, 5 analysts)
10$16.75+$59.20 (354%)22.8R
50$83.75+$296.00 (354%)22.8R
100$167.50+$592.00 (354%)22.8R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.36 days to cover)
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
35.7
Risk Grade
Layers
8
Quality: HIGH_VOL
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-6.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-20.4%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.20
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-82.2%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
65
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.6x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
62.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ASO0.370
RH0.338
VPG0.298
VSH0.289
W0.283
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
EGRX-0.182
DHBK.QA-0.180
EOAN.DE-0.178
SVT.L-0.174
EXCL.JK-0.168
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Aug
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.21272250027874107
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+9.8%
Beat Drift Positive %
50.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+14.8%
3M Return
-65.8%
6M Return
-62.4%
12M Return
-20.9%
Momentum Rank
#4335
Momentum Signal
STRONG_DOWN

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