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Vol. II · No. 256Sunday, 13 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc.

ALDX · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $101M · 7 employees

Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers and develops therapies designed to treat immune-mediated diseases.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
1.63 USD

At the last full screen
2026-05-13

Screened 2026-05-13 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. holds its Markdown at $1.63. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 62 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-05-13
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 62 days
Price at the screen$1.63
Valuation0.00 trailing · -7.88 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta1.15
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Cash ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 15.35% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 15.4% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 64.33% Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are 64.3% of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables 0.00% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

Our framework reads AVOID

The Street's Range
2.00Street low 7.60Street average 13.00Street high 1.63Price

Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +366% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.

Price History & Projections
$13.9$7.3$0.8TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$13.00 +676%Street avg$7.60 +354%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-05-13 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Why it gives us pause

At -7.9x forward earnings, the price already runs ahead of the business.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E-7.9x
Trailing P/E0.0x
EPS, trailing-0.45
EPS, forward-0.21
Revenue growth+0.0%revenue is shrinking
Profit margin0.0%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-51.8%not currently earning a positive return on equity
Debt to equity0.37minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio2.72comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta1.15moves a little more than the market
Short interest, float0.13%
52-week range1.07 - 6.18
Market cap$101M
Employees7

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

ALDX trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-08-21 Markdown · changed $1.63 +0.0% Entry 6

The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.

2026-07-21 Accumulation $1.63 +0.0% Entry 5

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.

2026-07-18 Accumulation $1.63 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.

2026-07-17 Accumulation $1.63 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 38%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $1.63 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $1.63 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The Insider Ledger · Form 4 Filings, As Filed
Most recent filings · ALDX
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-03-19 DOUGLAS RICHARD H Director 70,000 $128,100
2026-03-18 ALFIERI MICHAEL L Chief Financial Officer 5,000 $7,100
2025-08-13 ALFIERI MICHAEL L Chief Financial Officer 2,500 $13,250
2025-08-11 MACHATHA STEPHEN Officer 22,073 $113,713
2025-04-03 PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS L L C Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security 3,400,000 $4,828,000
2024-08-12 MACHATHA STEPHEN Officer 16,041 $75,975
2024-08-12 GREENBERG BRUCE Chief Financial Officer 10,834 $51,313

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $1.76 -4.8% · $952 -4.8%
2 months $1.78 -5.9% · $941 -5.9%
3 months $4.67 -64.1% · $359 -64.1%
6 months $4.59 -63.5% · $365 -63.5%
1 year $2.68 -37.6% · $624 -37.6%
2 years $3.87 -56.7% · $433 -56.7%
3 years $11.09 -84.9% · $151 -84.9%
5 years $12.34 -86.4% · $136 -86.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ALDX does next, these words stay.

Aldeyra Therapeutics, Inc. · ALDX · Markdown · $1.63
Recorded 2026-05-13 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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