Weekend Review · NAS100
NAS100 Weekly Review: A 1,295 Point Round Trip to Nowhere, and Our Worst Scorecard
Titan Macro Desk • Week of 29 June to 3 July 2026
| Close | 29,355 |
| Week | +0.2% |
| Range | 28,991 to 30,286 |
What Happened
A 1,295 point round trip that ended almost exactly where it began. The gap up into Q3 held, the ISM beat sold off, and Thursday’s payroll shock produced the two-act session that defined the week: 566 points up on rate-cut hopes, every point handed back once the demand question landed. The index enters the reopen with the argument unresolved and volatility priced as if it were settled.
What We Called vs What Happened
The score: 15 of 32 correct (47%). Our roughest major of the week, and it earns the first slot for that reason.
The whipsaw punished a daily cadence in both directions: cautious reads early in the week scored wrong as the recovery ran, and Thursday’s intraday reads were right for two hours then wrong by the close. Weeks like this are why the framework sizes NAS100 conviction down when the range compresses. We publish the 47% because the 100% weeks only mean something if this number is real too.
Key Levels
Support 28,991 (the weekly low), pivot 29,355, resistance 29,921 (the act-one high) then 30,286.
Next Week Setup
Monday’s reopen votes first on which act wins. A reclaim of 29,921 that holds says the rate-cut trade survived the weekend; failure there with a fading gap says act two is still in charge. Minutes Wednesday, claims Thursday.
Titan Macro Desk. Scored records are published weekly, misses included. This is analysis and education, not financial advice. Markets carry risk. Always manage your position size and do your own research.
