Weekend Review · Dollar Index
Dollar Index Weekly Review: Steady Bleeding Into a Binary Week
Titan Macro Desk • Week of 29 June to 3 July 2026
| Close | 100.75 |
| Week | -0.6% |
| Range | 100.56 to 101.60 |
What Happened
A one-way week dressed as a quiet one. The dollar bled steadily as cut odds repriced through ADP’s miss and then Thursday’s payroll shock. No panic, no air pockets, just persistent selling into every bounce, with cable the cleanest expression on the other side at 1.34.
What We Called vs What Happened
The score: 15 of 16 correct (94%).
Fifteen of sixteen. The one miss was fading Tuesday’s quarter-end bounce a session early.
Key Levels
Support 100.56, the week’s floor, and it matters: below 100.50 the market is pricing the cutting cycle as begun. Resistance 101.20 then 101.60.
Next Week Setup
The minutes are the event. A hawkish read repricing cuts OUT would squeeze a crowded dollar short into 101.50; confirmation of the market’s pricing opens the door under 100.50. Binary week for the greenback.
Titan Macro Desk. Scored records are published weekly, misses included. This is analysis and education, not financial advice. Markets carry risk. Always manage your position size and do your own research.
