PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NMS
$33.24
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$1.1B
Trailing P/E
40.05
Forward P/E
19.02
Rev Growth
-7.7%
Profit Margin
1.4%
ROE
Analyst Target
$35.00
Recommendation
BUY
About Papa John's International, Inc.

Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International. The company operates dine-in and delivery restaurants. It also offers pizza and other food and beverage products. In addition, the company supplies pizza sauce, dough, food products, paper products, smallware, and cleaning supplies to restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 61.0
Score Quality: 35.2
Score Combined: 44.8

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation75.9
Quality22.5
Cash Flow76.6
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet50.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 50.3 · Rank: #1811
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$2.1B
Price/Book
-2.54
Beta
1.166
Analysts
11
Total Revenue (TTM)
$2.0B
Total Debt
$952.7M
Earnings Growth
-22.2%
Dividend Yield
553.0%
Rec. Mean
2.47
Short Ratio
5.10
Short % Float
0.2%
Employees
9,400

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 44.8 (P60 — top 40.4% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 10 analysts at Buy.
Price: $33.24 | Target: $37.90 (+14%)
Score
45
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+14%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-7.7%
Profit Margin1.4%
Forward P/E19.0
Market Cap$1.1B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $28.25 (-15%) | Entry: $33.24
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($37.90, 10 analysts)
10$332.40+$46.60 (14%)0.9R
50$1,662.00+$233.00 (14%)0.9R
100$3,324.00+$466.00 (14%)0.9R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (5.10 days to cover)
The Verdict
Papa John's International, Inc. passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
46.6
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-6.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.39
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-46.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.6x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
MOO0.359
XLB0.313
TTI0.311
IWM0.301
CRSR0.293
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
4019.SR-0.161
PTEC.L-0.160
PLBL-0.157
4326.SR-0.141
ALEC.AE-0.141
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Friday
Best Month
May
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.7581219306546458
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-4.0%
3M Return
+13.6%
6M Return
-12.1%
12M Return
-18.0%
Momentum Rank
#2974
Momentum Signal
FLAT

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access