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NAS100 29,368 +0.91% S&P 7,657 +0.86% GOLD $4,390 +0.58% BTC $77,136 +0.74% VIX 15.84 −11.21% live tape · as of 10:31 UTC · 13 Sep
Vol. II · No. 257Monday, 14 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited logoOneSpaWorld Holdings Limited

OSW · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.7B · 5,395 employees

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited operates health and wellness centers onboard cruise ships and at destination resorts in the United States and internationally.

PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0
26.47 USD

At the last full screen
2026-08-26

Screened 2026-08-26 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · 13 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited holds its Distribution at $26.47. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 18 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-26
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateElevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 18 days
Price at the screen$26.47
Valuation33.51 trailing · 20.28 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 70.0
Beta0.91
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 13.34% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is just 13.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 9.08% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 9.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.05% Below 5% Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

26.10Conservative29.35Base case35.89Growth case 26.47Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-26 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 10.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
29.00Street low 30.00Street average 36.00Street high 26.47Price

Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +13% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$38.0$23.5$8.9TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$36.00 +51%Street avg$30.00 +26%Our fair value$29.35 +23%Conservative$26.10 +9%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-26 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Cruise ship spas offer little margin for error

Picture a passenger stepping off a Caribbean liner and straight into a massage cabin. OneSpaWorld runs those cabins on dozens of vessels and a handful of resorts. Revenue is expanding 13 percent, yet the shares sit only 7 percent below our fair value at a forward multiple of 20.4 times. That slim gap and an opportunity rating of none tell us to step aside.

The business earns an 8 percent profit margin and a 14 percent return on equity while clearing our ethical screen. Five analysts cluster around a 28 dollar median target that barely moves the needle from the current 26.41 dollar price. Without a clearer discount or a stronger moat, the numbers do not justify taking a position.

Cruise volumes remain hostage to fuel prices, health scares and discretionary spending swings. A cyclical consumer name trading near fair value can easily become a value trap if earnings peak and multiples compress. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E20.3xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E33.5xa premium valuation
EPS, trailing0.79
EPS, forward1.31
Revenue growth+8.5%steady growth
Profit margin8.0%thin but positive margins
Return on equity14.3%a solid return on shareholder capital
FCF yield1.82%
Dividend yield78.00%
Debt to equity0.16minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet
Current ratio2.91comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta0.91steadier than the market
Short interest, float0.08%
52-week range19.06 - 29.25
Market cap$2.7B
Employees5,395

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Bahamas and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

OSW trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Bahamas). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-09-08 Distribution · changed $26.47 +1.0% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.

2026-08-08 Markup $26.21 +1.6% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.

2026-07-18 Markup $25.79 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $29.

2026-07-03 Markup $25.79 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $25.79 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in OSW's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming OSW
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-04-20 Richard Blumenthal Democrat Sale 15K–50K
20 Apr2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat sell 15K–50K
20 Apr2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat sell 250K–500K
20 Apr2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat sell 250K–500K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $23.94 -0.2% $0.05 $1,000 +0.0%
2 months $24.32 -1.7% $0.05 $985 -1.5%
3 months $20.48 +16.7% $0.05 $1,170 +17.0%
6 months $20.10 +18.9% $0.10 $1,194 +19.4%
1 year $19.66 +21.6% $0.19 $1,226 +22.6%
2 years $14.88 +60.6% $0.35 $1,630 +63.0%
3 years $10.94 +118.5% $0.35 $2,216 +121.6%
5 years $11.07 +115.9% $0.35 $2,191 +119.1%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever OSW does next, these words stay.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited · OSW · Distribution · $26.47
Recorded 2026-08-26 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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