MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · NYQ
$27.57
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$5.3B
Trailing P/E
15.94
Forward P/E
10.48
Rev Growth
+2.3%
Profit Margin
24.4%
ROE
16.5%
Analyst Target
$33.00
Recommendation
BUY
About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States. The company's properties are located primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area in South Texas comprising the Eagle Ford Shale and the Austin Chalk formation. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 71.5
Score Quality: 75.2
Score Combined: 60.1

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality75.8
Cash Flow52.2
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 53.4 · Rank: #1144
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$5.4B
Price/Book
2.53
Beta
0.747
Analysts
17
Total Revenue (TTM)
$1.3B
Total Debt
$412.9M
Earnings Growth
-0.3%
Dividend Yield
229.0%
Rec. Mean
2.00
Short Ratio
8.36
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
262

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 60.1 (P95 — top 4.7% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 17 analysts at Buy.
Price: $27.57 | Target: $33.88 (+23%)
Score
60
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+23%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+2.3%
Profit Margin24.4%
ROE16.5%
Forward P/E10.5
Market Cap$5.3B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $23.43 (-15%) | Entry: $27.57
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($33.88, 17 analysts)
10$275.70+$63.10 (23%)1.5R
50$1,378.50+$315.50 (23%)1.5R
100$2,757.00+$631.00 (23%)1.5R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (8.36 days to cover)
The Verdict
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

D
Quant Score
36.0
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Quality: HMM_CRISIS
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.27
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
75
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
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MTDR0.862
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ALEC.AE-0.331
AERO-0.322
LBRX-0.285
4264.SR-0.260
4200.SR-0.211
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Mar
Worst Month
Apr
Fri-Mon Effect
0.020728928404958175
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-4.8%
3M Return
+2.1%
6M Return
+21.8%
12M Return
+28.8%
Momentum Rank
#1913
Momentum Signal
UP

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