The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (9 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $12.
CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.
CTMX · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $788M · 69 employees
CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2025-12-31
Screened 2025-12-31 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $3.62. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 67 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 67 days |
| Price at the screen | $3.62 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -7.45 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 2.08 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 2.80% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 2.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 82.07% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 82.1% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 9.69% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 9.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 6.83% | Below 5% | 6.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
The Street's RangeThird-party analyst targets: 8 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +231% from the screen price.
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2025-12-31 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words| Forward P/E | -7.5x |
| EPS, trailing | -0.52 |
| EPS, forward | -0.49 |
| Revenue growth | -79.9%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | -166.4%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -34.3%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -5.32% |
| Debt to equity | 0.89moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 10.38comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 2.08much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.19% |
| 52-week range | 1.72 - 8.21 |
| Market cap | $788M |
| Employees | 69 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
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Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 20.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (9 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $12.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 7% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (9 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $12.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $3.86 | -24.4% | · | $757 | -24.4% |
| 2 months | $4.39 | -33.5% | · | $665 | -33.5% |
| 3 months | $4.87 | -40.0% | · | $600 | -40.0% |
| 6 months | $4.06 | -28.1% | · | $719 | -28.1% |
| 1 year | $2.70 | +8.2% | · | $1,082 | +8.2% |
| 2 years | $1.63 | +79.1% | · | $1,791 | +79.1% |
| 3 years | $1.68 | +73.8% | · | $1,738 | +73.8% |
| 5 years | $7.16 | -59.2% | · | $408 | -59.2% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CTMX does next, these words stay.
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