Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · 13 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Avnet, Inc. holds its Distribution at $99.63. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 4 days
Price at the screen
$99.63
Valuation
24.85 trailing · 9.02 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.12
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
23.75%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 23.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
37.30%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 37.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 20.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 4 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +13% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Electronics middleman grows fast but earns little
When factories order chips or servers need parts, Avnet moves the components across continents. Revenue is rising 34 percent, the shares trade at 10.9 times forward earnings, and the ethical screen is clear. Yet the business delivers only a 1 percent profit margin and 4 percent return on equity, so the opportunity rating stays at none.
The low multiples reflect those thin returns rather than a bargain. Distribution is a scale game with little pricing power and an unknown competitive moat, which leaves little room for error when cycles turn. Analyst targets sit near fair value but add no conviction.
Margins this slim and returns this low point to a classic cyclical trap where peak earnings can look cheap on paper. Currency swings and inventory risk sit in the background. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
AVT trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-22Distribution$96.80+13.0%Entry 5
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 13.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 49% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 68%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $89.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 49% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 68%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $89.
2026-07-18Markup$90.59+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 49% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 68%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $89.
2026-07-03Markup$90.59+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$90.59Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
