NAS10029,403−1.38%S&P7,720−0.30%GOLD$3,993−0.95%BTC$78,307+0.68%VIX17.20+1.71%latest tape · as of 07:23 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
ACHRArcher Aviation Inc.
ACHR · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.3B · 1,160 employees
Archer Aviation Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops aircraft and related technologies and services for commercial and defense sectors in the United States and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
4.23 USD
Price as of 27 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-10-27 · the tape above runs as of 07:23 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price4.23 USD at the 27 Oct 2026 close
Ethical screenDoes not pass
OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.30)
Last reviewed27 Oct 2026 (3 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 4.23 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 8.46, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.30, read 2026-10-27
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price4.23 USD
Fair value8.46
Ethical score30.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-19Read Markdown5.71-25.9% to today ✓Markup gives way to Markdown after a 10% slide in 4 weeks
2026-08-20Read Markup6.32-33.1% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup after a 24% rise in 7 weeks
2026-07-02Read Accumulation5.08-16.7% to today First review on file: Accumulation
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Archer Aviation Inc. holds its Markdown at $4.23. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 6 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-27
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 6 days
Price at the screen
$4.23
Valuation
N/A trailing · -5.24 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 30.0
Beta
3.27
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited business activity: Aerospace & Defense
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Excluded
Core business clean
Prohibited business activity: Aerospace & Defense
Fail
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
Excluded
Below 5%
of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Archer Aviation does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in aerospace and defense, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-10-29. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Get an email when ACHR's ethical verdict changes
Today ACHR does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 100.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 9 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +160% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Flying taxis lose their shine once defence contracts appear
Picture a city skyline dotted with quiet electric air taxis whisking commuters above traffic. Archer Aviation wants to build those eVTOL aircraft, yet its work also reaches defence customers. That single link triggers an automatic ethical fail, so the investment case ends before any valuation debate begins. The numbers only reinforce the decision: zero profit margins, negative 48 percent return on equity and a forward multiple that is meaningless because earnings remain negative.
Analysts still rate the shares a buy with an 11 dollar median target, and the shares sit at 4.44 dollars against an internal 8.88 dollar reference. None of that matters once the prohibited activity screen is applied. The business model stays unproven at scale, cash burn is heavy and competition in urban air mobility is rising fast.
The ethical screen exists precisely to remove names like this from consideration, regardless of how the technology story develops or how far the price sits below any hypothetical fair value. Currency, execution and regulatory risks would sit high even without the defence exposure. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
ACHR trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-25Markdown$4.27+0.0%Entry 11
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-18Markdown$4.27-25.2%Entry 10
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 25.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-11Markdown$5.71+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-10-02Markdown$5.71+0.0%Entry 8
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-09-19Markdown · changed$5.71-9.7%Entry 7
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 9.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-08-20Markup · changed$6.32+42.3%Entry 6
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 42.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-20Accumulation$4.44-12.6%Entry 5
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 12.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-18Accumulation$5.08+0.0%Entry 4
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-16Accumulation$5.08+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are down 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 37%. The street (9 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $11.
2026-07-03Accumulation$5.08+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.