TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Information Technology · Semiconductors · NYSE (ADR)
$406.91
-0.24 (-0.06%)
Close 2026-05-22
✓ ETHICAL PASS

STRONG MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 86%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$2.1T
Trailing P/E
35.13
Forward P/E
21.22
Rev Growth
+35.1%
Profit Margin
46.5%
ROE
36.2%
Analyst Target
$463.45
Recommendation
NONE
About Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides various wafer fabrication processes, such as processes to manufacture complementary metal- oxide-semiconductor (CMOS) logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, embedded memory, bipolar CMOS mixed-signal, and others. The company also involved in providing customer and engineering support services; manufacturing of masks; investment in technology start-up companies; research, designing, developing, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and sale of color filters; and investment activities. Its products are used in high performance computing, smartphones, Internet of things, automotive, and digital consumer electronics. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $409 against a fair value of $579, a 29% discount. Strong competitive moat. 46% profit margins. Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 88% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio
Cash Ratio
Receivables Ratio
Revenue Ratio
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 50.0
Score Valuation: 62.5
Score Quality: 92.0
Score Combined: 55.7
Fair Value Est: $578.77 · Margin of Safety: +29.3% · Tier: FAIR VALUE

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

Unlock with Membership
Opportunity Scores
Valuation78.4
Quality100.0
Cash Flow50.0
Moat100.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: GOLD · Score: 79.9 · Rank: #75
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-163.74Pending--
2026-04-153.333.49+4.7%
2026-01-152.983.14+5.5%
2025-10-152.632.92+11.2%
2025-07-172.312.47+6.8%
2025-04-172.052.12+3.2%
2025-01-162.222.24+0.7%
2024-10-171.791.94+8.4%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$1.1T$572.5B$856.0B$751.3B$658.9B110.40
2025-12-31$1.0T$485.5B$757.5B$652.0B$564.9B97.50
2025-09-30$989.9B$452.3B$691.1B$588.5B$500.7B87.20
2025-06-30$933.8B$398.3B$684.8B$547.4B$463.4B76.80
2025-03-31$839.3B$361.6B$608.7B$493.4B$407.1B69.75
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-04-28TIEN BOR-ZENOfficer20$7.8K
2026-03-31BURNS URSULA MDirector1,000$322.1K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
FMR, LLC60.4M$24.4B0.0%
Capital World Investors32.9M$13.3B0.0%
Sanders Capital, LLC28.1M$11.4B0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO24.0M$9.7B0.0%
Van Eck Associates Corporation19.3M$7.8B0.0%
Fisher Asset Management, LLC18.6M$7.5B0.0%
Blackrock Inc.18.2M$7.4B0.0%
Morgan Stanley14.8M$6.0B0.0%
Bank of America Corporation14.1M$5.7B0.0%
Jennison Associates LLC12.0M$4.9B0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
5
12
2
19 analysts
2 Months Ago
6
12
19 analysts
Last Month
6
12
19 analysts
Current
5
12
2
19 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Political Trades & Convergence
CONVERGENCE: MODERATE
Politicians: 1
Insiders: 0
Institutions: 0
Politicians trading TSM:
["Whale Consensus (4 funds)"]
Recent Price History
2026-05-22
$406.91
-0.24 (-0.06%)
Vol: 1.6M
2026-05-22
$403.88
-3.27 (-0.80%)
Vol: 5.0M
2026-05-21
$407.15
+5.53 (+1.38%)
Vol: 8.8M
2026-05-20
$401.63
+9.02 (+2.30%)
Vol: 8.7M
5D Range
H: $411.46
L: $391.10
O: $409.43
May 20
May 21
May 22
May 22
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$8.2T
Price/Book
89.53
Beta
1.264
Analysts
18
Total Revenue (TTM)
$4.1T
Total Debt
$1.1T
Earnings Growth
+58.4%
Dividend Yield
0.9%
Rec. Mean
1.47
Short Ratio
1.93
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
76,907

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

Upgrade to Elite
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 55.7 (P87 — top 13.1% of scored tickers). Strong Moat. Ethical PASS. 18 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $406.91 | Target: $467.84 (+15%) | Fair Value: $578.77 (+42%)
Score
56
Moat
STRONG
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+15%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+35.1%
Profit Margin46.5%
ROE36.2%
Forward P/E21.2
Market Cap$2.1T
Convergence Signal
MODERATE— Politicians, insiders, and institutional funds aligned
Top Institutions:
FMR, LLC — $24.4B (0.0%)
Capital World Investors — $13.3B (0.0%)
Sanders Capital, LLC — $11.4B (0.0%)
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-16$3.74Pending
2026-04-15$3.33$3.49+4.7%
2026-01-15$2.98$3.14+5.5%
2025-10-15$2.63$2.92+11.2%
2025-07-17$2.31$2.47+6.8%
2025-04-17$2.05$2.12+3.2%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $345.87 (-15%) | Entry: $406.91
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($467.84, 18 analysts)
10$4,069.10+$609.30 (15%)1.0R
50$20,345.50+$3,046.50 (15%)1.0R
100$40,691.00+$6,093.00 (15%)1.0R
To Fair Value ($578.77)
10$4,069.10+$1,718.60 (42%)2.8R
50$20,345.50+$8,593.00 (42%)2.8R
100$40,691.00+$17,186.00 (42%)2.8R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing passes all ethical screens, holds a strong competitive moat, and is growing revenue at +35.1%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
63.6
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: HIGH_SORTINO,CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.0%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-5.7%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.74
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
95
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
100.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SPTE0.849
SPWO0.792
AMAGX0.781
IMANX0.773
UMMA0.767
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
ED-0.358
AWK-0.322
CBOE-0.264
MO-0.247
KR-0.245
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Wednesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Jun
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.15542131074353138
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+2.9%
Beat Drift Positive %
50.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+2.5%
3M Return
+7.2%
6M Return
+49.4%
12M Return
+112.8%
Momentum Rank
#682
Momentum Signal
STRONG_UP

Get our daily market read free. Join thousands of traders.

Free Explorer Access